ＤＡＸ指数 ： 2025-09-16 〜 2026-09-16（基準日: 2026-09-16）｜ サンプル総数: 254 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
56.9%
平均騰落率
+0.12%
上昇日数
29/51日
火曜
上昇確率
55.8%
平均騰落率
-0.02%
上昇日数
29/52日
水曜
上昇確率
55.8%
平均騰落率
-0.02%
上昇日数
29/52日
木曜
上昇確率
54.0%
平均騰落率
-0.03%
上昇日数
27/50日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
51.0%
平均騰落率
-0.02%
上昇日数
25/49日
| 曜日 | サンプル | 上昇確率 | 下落確率 | もみ合 | 平均騰落 | 平均上昇 | 平均下落 | 最大上昇 | 最大下落 | 上昇-下落 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 月曜週明け | 51日 | 56.9% | 43.1% | 0.0% | +0.12% | +0.74% | -0.69% | +2.01% | -2.56% | +13.7% |
| 火曜 | 52日 | 55.8% | 44.2% | 0.0% | -0.02% | +0.60% | -0.79% | +2.39% | -3.44% | +11.5% |
| 水曜 | 52日 | 55.8% | 44.2% | 0.0% | -0.02% | +0.60% | -0.79% | +2.39% | -3.44% | +11.5% |
| 木曜 | 50日 | 54.0% | 46.0% | 0.0% | -0.03% | +0.67% | -0.87% | +2.16% | -2.82% | +8.0% |
| 金曜週末 | 49日 | 51.0% | 49.0% | 0.0% | -0.02% | +0.69% | -0.77% | +2.27% | -2.07% | +2.0% |
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング（上昇確率順）
1
月曜
56.9%
（平均+0.12%）
2
火曜
55.8%
（平均-0.02%）
3
水曜
55.8%
（平均-0.02%）
4
木曜
54.0%
（平均-0.03%）
5
金曜
51.0%
（平均-0.02%）
📊 検証結果サマリー
月曜（週明け）：上昇確率 56.9%（1位） → 強く上昇しやすい
金曜（週末）：上昇確率 51.0%（5位） → 上昇しやすい傾向あり
月曜 vs 金曜：上昇確率差 +5.8% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を支持
📉 火曜日の騰落率推移チャート
各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率（前営業日比）を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。
火曜日 の騰落率推移 ｜
データ数: 52件 ｜
平均: -0.017% ｜
最新: -0.151%
📋 火曜日の騰落率データ一覧（最新順）
| 日付 | 終値 | 騰落率 | 累積騰落率 | 判定 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 25,402.30 | -0.151% | -0.151% | 📉 |
| 2026-09-08 | 26,007.60 | +0.004% | -0.147% | 📈 |
| 2026-09-01 | 25,970.10 | -1.097% | -1.244% | 📉 |
| 2026-08-25 | 26,266.10 | +0.611% | -0.633% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-18 | 26,128.40 | -0.798% | -1.431% | 📉 |
| 2026-08-11 | 26,391.40 | +0.256% | -1.175% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-04 | 26,202.30 | +0.773% | -0.402% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-28 | 25,464.00 | +0.406% | +0.004% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-21 | 25,011.30 | +0.662% | +0.666% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-14 | 25,147.00 | +0.131% | +0.797% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-07 | 25,465.20 | -1.366% | -0.569% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-30 | 24,995.80 | +1.498% | +0.929% | 📈 |
| 2026-06-23 | 24,893.60 | -0.979% | -0.050% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-16 | 24,910.40 | +0.066% | +0.016% | 📈 |
| 2026-06-09 | 24,433.10 | -0.744% | -0.728% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-02 | 25,124.20 | +0.485% | -0.243% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-26 | 25,184.90 | -0.804% | -1.047% | 📉 |
| 2026-05-19 | 24,400.70 | +0.382% | -0.665% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-12 | 23,954.90 | -1.624% | -2.289% | 📉 |
| 2026-05-05 | 24,401.70 | +1.711% | -0.578% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-28 | 24,018.30 | -0.271% | -0.849% | 📉 |
| 2026-04-21 | 24,270.90 | -0.602% | -1.451% | 📉 |
| 2026-04-14 | 24,044.20 | +1.271% | -0.180% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-07 | 22,921.60 | -1.064% | -1.244% | 📉 |
| 2026-03-31 | 22,680.00 | +0.519% | -0.725% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-24 | 22,636.90 | -0.075% | -0.800% | 📉 |
| 2026-03-17 | 23,730.90 | +0.708% | -0.092% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-10 | 23,968.60 | +2.389% | +2.297% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-03 | 23,790.70 | -3.439% | -1.142% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-24 | 24,986.20 | -0.023% | -1.165% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-17 | 24,998.40 | +0.796% | -0.369% | 📈 |
| 2026-02-10 | 24,987.80 | -0.108% | -0.477% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-03 | 24,780.80 | -0.067% | -0.544% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-27 | 24,894.40 | -0.155% | -0.699% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-20 | 24,703.10 | -1.026% | -1.725% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-13 | 25,420.70 | +0.061% | -1.664% | 📈 |
| 2026-01-06 | 24,892.20 | +0.094% | -1.570% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-30 | 24,490.40 | +0.572% | -0.998% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-23 | 24,340.10 | +0.231% | -0.767% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-16 | 24,076.90 | -0.631% | -1.398% | 📉 |
| 2025-12-09 | 24,162.70 | +0.485% | -0.913% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-02 | 23,710.90 | +0.515% | -0.398% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-25 | 23,464.60 | +0.970% | +0.572% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-18 | 23,180.50 | -1.738% | -1.166% | 📉 |
| 2025-11-11 | 24,088.10 | +0.535% | -0.631% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-04 | 23,949.10 | -0.760% | -1.391% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-28 | 24,278.60 | -0.124% | -1.515% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-21 | 24,330.00 | +0.294% | -1.221% | 📈 |
| 2025-10-14 | 24,236.90 | -0.619% | -1.840% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-07 | 24,385.80 | +0.031% | -1.809% | 📈 |
| 2025-09-30 | 23,880.70 | +0.571% | -1.238% | 📈 |
| 2025-09-23 | 23,611.30 | +0.358% | -0.880% | 📈 |