ナスダック ： 2025-09-16 〜 2026-09-16（基準日: 2026-09-16）｜ サンプル総数: 250 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
60.4%
平均騰落率
+0.45%
上昇日数
29/48日
火曜
上昇確率
46.2%
平均騰落率
-0.07%
上昇日数
24/52日
水曜
上昇確率
46.2%
平均騰落率
-0.07%
上昇日数
24/52日
木曜
上昇確率
42.9%
平均騰落率
-0.13%
上昇日数
21/49日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
55.1%
平均騰落率
-0.04%
上昇日数
27/49日
| 曜日 | サンプル | 上昇確率 | 下落確率 | もみ合 | 平均騰落 | 平均上昇 | 平均下落 | 最大上昇 | 最大下落 | 上昇-下落 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 月曜週明け | 48日 | 60.4% | 39.6% | 0.0% | +0.45% | +1.11% | -0.55% | +3.07% | -1.55% | +20.8% |
| 火曜 | 52日 | 46.2% | 53.8% | 0.0% | -0.07% | +0.90% | -0.91% | +3.83% | -2.39% | -7.7% |
| 水曜 | 52日 | 46.2% | 53.8% | 0.0% | -0.07% | +0.90% | -0.91% | +3.83% | -2.39% | -7.7% |
| 木曜 | 49日 | 42.9% | 57.1% | 0.0% | -0.13% | +1.02% | -1.00% | +2.78% | -2.38% | -14.3% |
| 金曜週末 | 49日 | 55.1% | 44.9% | 0.0% | -0.04% | +0.80% | -1.08% | +2.18% | -4.18% | +10.2% |
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング（上昇確率順）
1
月曜
60.4%
（平均+0.45%）
2
金曜
55.1%
（平均-0.04%）
3
火曜
46.2%
（平均-0.07%）
4
水曜
46.2%
（平均-0.07%）
5
木曜
42.9%
（平均-0.13%）
📊 検証結果サマリー
月曜（週明け）：上昇確率 60.4%（1位） → 強く上昇しやすい
金曜（週末）：上昇確率 55.1%（2位） → 強く上昇しやすい
月曜 vs 金曜：上昇確率差 +5.3% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を支持
📉 水曜日の騰落率推移チャート
各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率（前営業日比）を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。
水曜日 の騰落率推移 ｜
データ数: 53件 ｜
平均: +0.142% ｜
最新: -0.012%
📋 水曜日の騰落率データ一覧（最新順）
| 日付 | 終値 | 騰落率 | 累積騰落率 | 判定 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | 25,978.40 | -0.012% | -0.012% | 📉 |
| 2026-09-09 | 26,253.30 | -0.636% | -0.648% | 📉 |
| 2026-09-02 | 26,217.80 | +0.452% | -0.196% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-26 | 26,130.20 | -0.081% | -0.277% | 📉 |
| 2026-08-19 | 26,331.10 | +0.157% | -0.120% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-12 | 26,588.50 | +0.541% | +0.421% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-05 | 26,363.40 | -0.834% | -0.413% | 📉 |
| 2026-07-29 | 24,442.90 | -1.745% | -2.158% | 📉 |
| 2026-07-22 | 25,690.90 | -0.566% | -2.724% | 📉 |
| 2026-07-15 | 26,269.20 | +0.621% | -2.103% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-08 | 25,870.70 | +0.201% | -1.902% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-01 | 26,040.00 | -0.663% | -2.565% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-24 | 25,476.60 | -0.431% | -2.996% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-17 | 26,021.70 | -1.344% | -4.340% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-10 | 25,169.50 | -1.983% | -6.323% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-03 | 26,854.00 | -0.885% | -7.208% | 📉 |
| 2026-05-27 | 26,674.70 | +0.069% | -7.139% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-20 | 26,270.40 | +1.545% | -5.594% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-13 | 26,402.30 | +1.204% | -4.390% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-06 | 25,838.90 | +2.025% | -2.365% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-29 | 24,673.20 | +0.038% | -2.327% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-22 | 24,657.60 | +1.639% | -0.688% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-15 | 24,016.00 | +1.594% | +0.906% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-08 | 22,635.00 | +2.803% | +3.709% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-01 | 21,840.90 | +1.159% | +4.868% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-25 | 21,929.80 | +0.772% | +5.640% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-18 | 22,152.40 | -1.455% | +4.185% | 📉 |
| 2026-03-11 | 22,716.10 | +0.084% | +4.269% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-04 | 22,807.50 | +1.291% | +5.560% | 📈 |
| 2026-02-25 | 23,152.10 | +1.261% | +6.821% | 📈 |
| 2026-02-18 | 22,753.60 | +0.776% | +7.597% | 📈 |
| 2026-02-11 | 23,066.50 | -0.156% | +7.441% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-04 | 22,904.60 | -1.508% | +5.933% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-28 | 23,857.40 | +0.169% | +6.102% | 📈 |
| 2026-01-21 | 23,224.80 | +1.178% | +7.280% | 📈 |
| 2026-01-14 | 23,471.80 | -1.004% | +6.276% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-07 | 23,584.30 | +0.158% | +6.434% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-31 | 23,242.00 | -0.756% | +5.678% | 📉 |
| 2025-12-24 | 23,613.30 | +0.219% | +5.897% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-17 | 22,693.30 | -1.809% | +4.088% | 📉 |
| 2025-12-10 | 23,654.20 | +0.330% | +4.418% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-03 | 23,454.10 | +0.173% | +4.591% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-26 | 23,214.70 | +0.821% | +5.412% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-19 | 22,564.20 | +0.586% | +5.998% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-12 | 23,406.50 | -0.263% | +5.735% | 📉 |
| 2025-11-05 | 23,499.80 | +0.648% | +6.383% | 📈 |
| 2025-10-29 | 23,958.50 | +0.550% | +6.933% | 📈 |
| 2025-10-22 | 22,740.40 | -0.929% | +6.004% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-15 | 22,670.10 | +0.659% | +6.663% | 📈 |
| 2025-10-08 | 23,043.40 | +1.119% | +7.782% | 📈 |
| 2025-10-01 | 22,755.20 | +0.420% | +8.202% | 📈 |
| 2025-09-24 | 22,497.90 | -0.335% | +7.867% | 📉 |
| 2025-09-17 | 22,261.30 | -0.326% | +7.541% | 📉 |