S&P500 : 2025-09-14 〜 2026-09-14(基準日: 2026-09-14)| サンプル総数: 250 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
62.5%
平均騰落率
+0.29%
上昇日数
30/48日
火曜
上昇確率
46.2%
平均騰落率
-0.02%
上昇日数
24/52日
水曜
上昇確率
51.9%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
27/52日
木曜
上昇確率
49.0%
平均騰落率
-0.08%
上昇日数
24/49日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
61.2%
平均騰落率
+0.01%
上昇日数
30/49日
| 曜日 | サンプル | 上昇確率 | 下落確率 | もみ合 | 平均騰落 | 平均上昇 | 平均下落 | 最大上昇 | 最大下落 | 上昇-下落 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 月曜週明け | 48日 | 62.5% | 37.5% | 0.0% | +0.29% | +0.72% | -0.42% | +1.65% | -1.04% | +25.0% |
| 火曜 | 52日 | 46.2% | 53.8% | 0.0% | -0.02% | +0.61% | -0.56% | +2.91% | -2.06% | -7.7% |
| 水曜 | 52日 | 51.9% | 48.1% | 0.0% | +0.10% | +0.65% | -0.49% | +2.51% | -1.62% | +3.8% |
| 木曜 | 49日 | 49.0% | 49.0% | 2.0% | -0.08% | +0.61% | -0.78% | +1.75% | -1.74% | +0.0% |
| 金曜週末 | 49日 | 61.2% | 38.8% | 0.0% | +0.01% | +0.54% | -0.83% | +1.97% | -2.71% | +22.4% |
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1
月曜
62.5%
(平均+0.29%)
2
金曜
61.2%
(平均+0.01%)
3
水曜
51.9%
(平均+0.10%)
4
木曜
49.0%
(平均-0.08%)
5
火曜
46.2%
(平均-0.02%)
📊 検証結果サマリー
月曜(週明け):上昇確率 62.5%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい
金曜(週末):上昇確率 61.2%(2位) → 強く上昇しやすい
月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +1.3% → 両者に大きな差は見られない
📉 木曜日の騰落率推移チャート
各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。
木曜日 の騰落率推移 |
データ数: 49件 |
平均: -0.082% |
最新: -0.585%
📋 木曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
| 日付 | 終値 | 騰落率 | 累積騰落率 | 判定 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 7,591.70 | -0.585% | -0.585% | 📉 |
| 2026-09-03 | 7,747.71 | +1.058% | +0.473% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-27 | 7,730.99 | +0.720% | +1.193% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-20 | 7,641.16 | -0.867% | +0.326% | 📉 |
| 2026-08-13 | 7,798.99 | +0.652% | +0.978% | 📈 |
| 2026-08-06 | 7,709.96 | -0.176% | +0.802% | 📉 |
| 2026-07-30 | 7,437.63 | +1.660% | +2.462% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-23 | 7,408.30 | -1.209% | +1.253% | 📉 |
| 2026-07-16 | 7,533.77 | -0.510% | +0.743% | 📉 |
| 2026-07-09 | 7,543.64 | +0.814% | +1.557% | 📈 |
| 2026-07-02 | 7,483.24 | +0.000% | +1.557% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-25 | 7,357.49 | -0.010% | +1.547% | 📉 |
| 2026-06-18 | 7,500.58 | +1.085% | +2.632% | 📈 |
| 2026-06-11 | 7,394.30 | +1.752% | +4.384% | 📈 |
| 2026-06-04 | 7,584.31 | +0.405% | +4.789% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-28 | 7,563.63 | +0.575% | +5.364% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-21 | 7,445.72 | +0.172% | +5.536% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-14 | 7,501.24 | +0.766% | +6.302% | 📈 |
| 2026-05-07 | 7,337.11 | -0.380% | +5.922% | 📉 |
| 2026-04-30 | 7,209.01 | +1.024% | +6.946% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-23 | 7,108.40 | -0.413% | +6.533% | 📉 |
| 2026-04-16 | 7,041.28 | +0.261% | +6.794% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-09 | 6,824.66 | +0.617% | +7.411% | 📈 |
| 2026-04-02 | 6,582.69 | +0.112% | +7.523% | 📈 |
| 2026-03-26 | 6,477.16 | -1.741% | +5.782% | 📉 |
| 2026-03-19 | 6,606.49 | -0.275% | +5.507% | 📉 |
| 2026-03-12 | 6,672.62 | -1.523% | +3.984% | 📉 |
| 2026-03-05 | 6,830.71 | -0.565% | +3.419% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-26 | 6,908.86 | -0.537% | +2.882% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-19 | 6,861.89 | -0.282% | +2.600% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-12 | 6,832.76 | -1.566% | +1.034% | 📉 |
| 2026-02-05 | 6,798.40 | -1.225% | -0.191% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-29 | 6,969.01 | -0.129% | -0.320% | 📉 |
| 2026-01-22 | 6,913.35 | +0.549% | +0.229% | 📈 |
| 2026-01-15 | 6,944.47 | +0.258% | +0.487% | 📈 |
| 2026-01-08 | 6,921.46 | +0.008% | +0.495% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-18 | 6,774.76 | +0.793% | +1.288% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-11 | 6,901.00 | +0.208% | +1.496% | 📈 |
| 2025-12-04 | 6,857.12 | +0.108% | +1.604% | 📈 |
| 2025-11-20 | 6,538.76 | -1.557% | +0.047% | 📉 |
| 2025-11-13 | 6,737.49 | -1.656% | -1.609% | 📉 |
| 2025-11-06 | 6,720.32 | -1.118% | -2.727% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-30 | 6,822.34 | -0.990% | -3.717% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-23 | 6,738.44 | +0.583% | -3.134% | 📈 |
| 2025-10-16 | 6,629.07 | -0.629% | -3.763% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-09 | 6,735.11 | -0.276% | -4.039% | 📉 |
| 2025-10-02 | 6,715.35 | +0.062% | -3.977% | 📈 |
| 2025-09-25 | 6,604.72 | -0.501% | -4.478% | 📉 |
| 2025-09-18 | 6,631.96 | +0.479% | -3.999% | 📈 |