📈 NYダウの木曜日「上がりやすさ」分析

検証仮説:「週明け(月曜)は上昇しやすく、週末(金曜)は下落しやすい」 — NYダウの曜日別騰落率を分析

TOP】【指数・為替・商品一覧】【関連銘柄


国内株価
市場指標
NYダウ : 2021-07-31 〜 2026-07-31(基準日: 2026-07-31)| サンプル総数: 1253 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
58.4%
平均騰落率
+0.08%
上昇日数
136/233日
火曜
 
上昇確率
50.4%
平均騰落率
+0.01%
上昇日数
131/260日
水曜
 
上昇確率
51.2%
平均騰落率
+0.06%
上昇日数
132/258日
木曜
 
上昇確率
50.2%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
126/251日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
50.2%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
126/251日
曜日 サンプル 上昇確率 下落確率 もみ合 平均騰落 平均上昇 平均下落 最大上昇 最大下落 上昇-下落
月曜週明け 233日 58.4% 41.6% 0.0% +0.08% +0.58% -0.62% +2.81% -2.79% +16.7%
火曜 260日 50.4% 49.6% 0.0% +0.01% +0.65% -0.64% +2.80% -3.94% +0.8%
水曜 258日 51.2% 48.8% 0.0% +0.06% +0.70% -0.62% +7.87% -3.57% +2.3%
木曜 251日 50.2% 49.4% 0.4% -0.01% +0.70% -0.73% +3.70% -3.98% +0.8%
金曜週末 251日 50.2% 49.4% 0.4% -0.01% +0.70% -0.73% +3.70% -3.98% +0.8%
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1 月曜 58.4% (平均+0.08%)
2 水曜 51.2% (平均+0.06%)
3 火曜 50.4% (平均+0.01%)
4 木曜 50.2% (平均-0.01%)
5 金曜 50.2% (平均-0.01%)
📊 検証結果サマリー

月曜(週明け):上昇確率 58.4%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい

金曜(週末):上昇確率 50.2%(5位) → 上昇しやすい傾向あり

月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +8.2% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を支持

📉 木曜日の騰落率推移チャート

各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。

木曜日 の騰落率推移 | データ数: 251件 | 平均: -0.008% | 最新: +1.190%
📋 木曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
日付 終値 騰落率 累積騰落率 判定
2026-07-30 52,208.10 +1.190% +1.190% 📈
2026-07-23 51,711.60 -0.971% +0.219% 📉
2026-07-16 52,553.00 -0.201% +0.018% 📉
2026-07-09 52,487.40 +0.266% +0.284% 📈
2026-07-02 52,900.10 +1.137% +1.421% 📈
2026-06-25 51,920.60 +0.138% +1.559% 📈
2026-06-18 51,564.70 +0.140% +1.699% 📈
2026-06-11 50,848.80 +1.863% +3.562% 📈
2026-06-04 51,561.90 +1.726% +5.288% 📈
2026-05-28 50,669.00 +0.049% +5.337% 📈
2026-05-21 50,285.70 +0.552% +5.889% 📈
2026-05-14 50,063.50 +0.745% +6.634% 📈
2026-05-07 49,597.00 -0.628% +6.006% 📉
2026-04-30 49,652.10 +1.617% +7.623% 📈
2026-04-23 49,310.30 -0.363% +7.260% 📉
2026-04-16 48,578.70 +0.237% +7.497% 📈
2026-04-09 48,185.80 +0.576% +8.073% 📈
2026-04-02 46,504.70 -0.131% +7.942% 📉
2026-03-26 45,960.10 -1.011% +6.931% 📉
2026-03-19 46,021.40 -0.441% +6.490% 📉
2026-03-12 46,677.90 -1.559% +4.931% 📉
2026-03-05 47,954.70 -1.610% +3.321% 📉
2026-02-26 49,499.20 +0.035% +3.356% 📈
2026-02-19 49,395.20 -0.539% +2.817% 📉
2026-02-12 49,452.00 -1.336% +1.481% 📉
2026-02-05 48,908.70 -1.197% +0.284% 📉
2026-01-29 49,071.60 +0.114% +0.398% 📈
2026-01-22 49,384.00 +0.625% +1.023% 📈
2026-01-15 49,442.40 +0.596% +1.619% 📈
2026-01-08 49,266.10 +0.551% +2.170% 📈
2025-12-18 47,951.90 +0.138% +2.308% 📈
2025-12-11 48,704.00 +1.345% +3.653% 📈
2025-12-04 47,850.90 -0.067% +3.586% 📉
2025-11-20 45,752.30 -0.838% +2.748% 📉
2025-11-13 47,457.20 -1.653% +1.095% 📉
2025-11-06 46,912.30 -0.843% +0.252% 📉
2025-10-30 47,522.10 -0.231% +0.021% 📉
2025-10-23 46,734.60 +0.310% +0.331% 📈
2025-10-16 45,952.20 -0.651% -0.320% 📉
2025-10-09 46,358.40 -0.522% -0.842% 📉
2025-10-02 46,519.70 +0.169% -0.673% 📈
2025-09-25 45,947.30 -0.377% -1.050% 📉
2025-09-18 46,142.40 +0.270% -0.780% 📈
2025-09-11 46,108.00 +1.357% +0.577% 📈
2025-09-04 45,621.30 +0.773% +1.350% 📈
2025-08-28 45,636.90 +0.157% +1.507% 📈
2025-08-21 44,785.50 -0.340% +1.167% 📉
2025-08-14 44,911.30 -0.024% +1.143% 📉
2025-08-07 43,968.60 -0.508% +0.635% 📉
2025-07-31 44,131.00 -0.743% -0.108% 📉
2025-07-24 44,693.90 -0.703% -0.811% 📉
2025-07-17 44,484.50 +0.519% -0.292% 📈
2025-07-10 44,650.60 +0.433% +0.141% 📈
2025-07-03 44,828.50 +0.774% +0.915% 📈
2025-06-26 43,386.80 +0.941% +1.856% 📈
2025-06-12 42,967.60 +0.237% +2.093% 📈
2025-06-05 42,319.70 -0.255% +1.838% 📉
2025-05-29 42,215.70 +0.278% +2.116% 📈
2025-05-22 41,859.10 -0.003% +2.113% 📉
2025-05-15 42,322.80 +0.646% +2.759% 📈
2025-05-08 41,368.40 +0.619% +3.378% 📈
2025-05-01 40,753.00 +0.206% +3.584% 📈
2025-04-24 40,093.40 +1.229% +4.813% 📈
2025-04-17 39,142.20 -1.329% +3.484% 📉
2025-04-10 39,593.70 -2.499% +0.985% 📉
2025-04-03 40,545.90 -3.977% -2.992% 📉
2025-03-27 42,299.70 -0.365% -3.357% 📉
2025-03-20 41,953.30 -0.027% -3.384% 📉
2025-03-13 40,813.60 -1.299% -4.683% 📉
2025-03-06 42,579.10 -0.994% -5.677% 📉
2025-02-27 43,239.50 -0.446% -6.123% 📉
2025-02-20 44,176.60 -1.011% -7.134% 📉
2025-02-13 44,711.40 +0.773% -6.361% 📈
2025-02-06 44,747.60 -0.280% -6.641% 📉
2025-01-30 44,882.10 +0.377% -6.264% 📈
2025-01-23 44,565.10 +0.925% -5.339% 📈
2025-01-16 43,153.10 -0.158% -5.497% 📉
2025-01-02 42,392.30 -0.357% -5.854% 📉
2024-12-26 43,325.80 +0.067% -5.787% 📈
2024-12-19 42,342.20 +0.036% -5.751% 📈
2024-12-12 43,914.10 -0.531% -6.282% 📉
2024-12-05 44,765.70 -0.552% -6.834% 📉
2024-11-21 43,870.40 +1.064% -5.770% 📈
2024-11-14 43,750.90 -0.472% -6.242% 📉
2024-11-07 43,729.30 -0.001% -6.243% 📉
2024-10-31 41,763.50 -0.897% -7.140% 📉
2024-10-24 42,374.40 -0.330% -7.470% 📉
2024-10-17 43,239.10 +0.375% -7.095% 📈
2024-10-10 42,454.10 -0.136% -7.231% 📉
2024-10-03 42,011.60 -0.438% -7.669% 📉
2024-09-26 42,175.10 +0.621% -7.048% 📈
2024-09-19 42,025.20 +1.258% -5.790% 📈
2024-09-12 41,096.80 +0.575% -5.215% 📈
2024-09-05 40,755.80 -0.535% -5.750% 📉
2024-08-29 41,335.10 +0.593% -5.157% 📈
2024-08-22 40,712.80 -0.435% -5.592% 📉
2024-08-15 40,563.10 +1.386% -4.206% 📈
2024-08-08 39,446.50 +1.762% -2.444% 📈
2024-08-01 40,348.00 -1.211% -3.655% 📉
2024-07-25 39,935.10 +0.204% -3.451% 📈
2024-07-18 40,665.00 -1.294% -4.745% 📉
2024-07-11 39,753.80 +0.082% -4.663% 📈
2024-06-27 39,164.10 +0.093% -4.570% 📈
2024-06-20 39,134.80 +0.772% -3.798% 📈
2024-06-13 38,647.10 -0.168% -3.966% 📉
2024-06-06 38,886.20 +0.203% -3.763% 📈
2024-05-30 38,111.50 -0.858% -4.621% 📉
2024-05-23 39,065.30 -1.527% -6.148% 📉
2024-05-16 39,869.40 -0.097% -6.245% 📉
2024-05-09 39,387.80 +0.849% -5.396% 📈
2024-05-02 38,225.70 +0.851% -4.545% 📈
2024-04-25 38,085.80 -0.975% -5.520% 📉
2024-04-18 37,775.40 +0.059% -5.461% 📈
2024-04-11 38,459.10 -0.006% -5.467% 📉
2024-04-04 38,597.00 -1.355% -6.822% 📉
2024-03-28 39,807.40 +0.119% -6.703% 📈
2024-03-21 39,781.40 +0.682% -6.021% 📈
2024-03-14 38,905.70 -0.352% -6.373% 📉
2024-03-07 38,791.40 +0.337% -6.036% 📈
2024-02-29 38,996.40 +0.122% -5.914% 📈
2024-02-22 39,069.10 +1.183% -4.731% 📈
2024-02-15 38,773.10 +0.908% -3.823% 📈
2024-02-08 38,726.30 +0.126% -3.697% 📈
2024-02-01 38,519.80 +0.969% -2.728% 📈
2024-01-25 38,049.10 +0.642% -2.086% 📈
2024-01-18 37,468.60 +0.542% -1.544% 📈
2024-01-11 37,711.00 +0.041% -1.503% 📈
2024-01-04 37,440.30 +0.027% -1.476% 📈
2023-12-28 37,710.10 +0.142% -1.334% 📈
2023-12-21 37,404.40 +0.869% -0.465% 📈
2023-12-14 37,248.40 +0.427% -0.038% 📈
2023-12-07 36,117.40 +0.175% +0.137% 📈
2023-11-30 35,950.90 +1.469% +1.606% 📈
2023-11-16 34,945.50 -0.131% +1.475% 📉
2023-11-09 33,891.90 -0.646% +0.829% 📉
2023-11-02 33,839.10 +1.696% +2.525% 📈
2023-10-26 32,784.30 -0.762% +1.763% 📉
2023-10-19 33,414.20 -0.745% +1.018% 📉
2023-10-12 33,631.10 -0.514% +0.504% 📉
2023-10-05 33,119.60 -0.030% +0.474% 📉
2023-09-28 33,666.30 +0.346% +0.820% 📈
2023-09-21 34,070.40 -1.076% -0.256% 📉
2023-09-14 34,907.10 +0.959% +0.703% 📈
2023-09-07 34,500.70 +0.167% +0.870% 📈
2023-08-31 34,721.90 -0.482% +0.388% 📉
2023-08-24 34,099.40 -1.084% -0.696% 📉
2023-08-17 34,474.80 -0.837% -1.533% 📉
2023-08-10 35,176.10 +0.150% -1.383% 📈
2023-08-03 35,215.90 -0.189% -1.572% 📉
2023-07-27 35,282.70 -0.668% -2.240% 📉
2023-07-20 35,225.20 +0.468% -1.772% 📈
2023-07-13 34,395.10 +0.139% -1.633% 📈
2023-07-06 33,922.30 -1.068% -2.701% 📉
2023-06-29 34,122.40 +0.797% -1.904% 📈
2023-06-22 33,946.70 -0.014% -1.918% 📉
2023-06-15 34,408.10 +1.262% -0.656% 📈
2023-06-08 33,833.60 +0.501% -0.155% 📈
2023-06-01 33,061.60 +0.466% +0.311% 📈
2023-05-25 32,764.70 -0.107% +0.204% 📉
2023-05-18 33,535.90 +0.344% +0.548% 📈
2023-05-11 33,309.50 -0.661% -0.113% 📉
2023-05-04 33,127.70 -0.857% -0.970% 📉
2023-04-27 33,826.20 +1.574% +0.604% 📈
2023-04-20 33,786.60 -0.326% +0.278% 📉
2023-04-13 34,029.70 +1.139% +1.417% 📈
2023-04-06 33,485.30 +0.008% +1.425% 📈
2023-03-30 32,859.00 +0.432% +1.857% 📈
2023-03-23 32,105.20 +0.234% +2.091% 📈
2023-03-16 32,246.60 +1.167% +3.258% 📈
2023-03-09 32,254.90 -1.657% +1.601% 📉
2023-03-02 33,003.60 +1.046% +2.647% 📈
2023-02-23 33,153.90 +0.329% +2.976% 📈
2023-02-16 33,696.90 -1.263% +1.713% 📉
2023-02-09 33,699.90 -0.734% +0.979% 📉
2023-02-02 34,053.90 -0.115% +0.864% 📉
2023-01-26 33,949.40 +0.609% +1.473% 📈
2023-01-19 33,044.60 -0.758% +0.715% 📉
2023-01-12 34,190.00 +0.639% +1.354% 📈
2023-01-05 32,930.10 -1.021% +0.333% 📉
2022-12-29 33,220.80 +1.050% +1.383% 📈
2022-12-22 33,027.50 -1.046% +0.337% 📉
2022-12-15 33,202.20 -2.250% -1.913% 📉
2022-12-08 33,781.50 +0.546% -1.367% 📈
2022-12-01 34,395.00 -0.563% -1.930% 📉
2022-11-17 33,546.30 -0.022% -1.952% 📉
2022-11-10 33,715.40 +3.695% +1.743% 📈
2022-11-03 32,001.20 -0.456% +1.287% 📉
2022-10-27 32,033.30 +0.610% +1.897% 📈
2022-10-20 30,333.60 -0.296% +1.601% 📉
2022-10-13 30,038.70 +2.834% +4.435% 📈
2022-10-06 29,926.90 -1.146% +3.289% 📉
2022-09-29 29,225.60 -1.543% +1.746% 📉
2022-09-22 30,076.70 -0.355% +1.391% 📉
2022-09-15 30,961.80 -0.557% +0.834% 📉
2022-09-08 31,774.50 +0.612% +1.446% 📈
2022-09-01 31,656.40 +0.463% +1.909% 📈
2022-08-25 33,291.80 +0.978% +2.887% 📈
2022-08-18 33,999.00 +0.055% +2.942% 📈
2022-08-11 33,336.70 +0.082% +3.024% 📈
2022-08-04 32,726.80 -0.261% +2.763% 📉
2022-07-28 32,529.60 +1.031% +3.794% 📈
2022-07-21 32,036.90 +0.509% +4.303% 📈
2022-07-14 30,630.20 -0.463% +3.840% 📉
2022-07-07 31,384.60 +1.118% +4.958% 📈
2022-06-30 30,775.40 -0.818% +4.140% 📉
2022-06-23 30,677.40 +0.637% +4.777% 📈
2022-06-16 29,927.10 -2.417% +2.360% 📉
2022-06-09 32,272.80 -1.939% +0.421% 📉
2022-06-02 33,248.30 +1.326% +1.747% 📈
2022-05-26 32,637.20 +1.609% +3.356% 📈
2022-05-19 31,253.10 -0.753% +2.603% 📉
2022-05-12 31,730.30 -0.326% +2.277% 📉
2022-05-05 32,998.00 -3.121% -0.844% 📉
2022-04-28 33,916.40 +1.845% +1.001% 📈
2022-04-21 34,792.80 -1.047% -0.046% 📉
2022-04-14 34,451.20 -0.328% -0.374% 📉
2022-04-07 34,583.60 +0.252% -0.122% 📈
2022-03-31 34,678.40 -1.562% -1.684% 📉
2022-03-24 34,707.90 +1.017% -0.667% 📈
2022-03-17 34,480.80 +1.226% +0.559% 📈
2022-03-10 33,174.10 -0.337% +0.222% 📉
2022-03-03 33,794.70 -0.285% -0.063% 📉
2022-02-24 33,223.80 +0.278% +0.215% 📈
2022-02-17 34,312.00 -1.781% -1.566% 📉
2022-02-10 35,241.60 -1.472% -3.038% 📉
2022-02-03 35,111.20 -1.454% -4.492% 📉
2022-01-27 34,160.80 -0.021% -4.513% 📉
2022-01-20 34,715.40 -0.894% -5.407% 📉
2022-01-13 36,113.60 -0.487% -5.894% 📉
2022-01-06 36,236.50 -0.469% -6.363% 📉
2021-12-30 36,398.10 -0.248% -6.611% 📉
2021-12-23 35,950.60 +0.550% -6.061% 📈
2021-12-16 35,897.60 -0.083% -6.144% 📉
2021-12-09 35,754.70 +0.000% -6.144% 📉
2021-12-02 34,639.80 +1.816% -4.328% 📈
2021-11-18 35,870.90 -0.168% -4.496% 📉
2021-11-11 35,921.20 -0.440% -4.936% 📉
2021-11-04 36,124.20 -0.092% -5.028% 📉
2021-10-28 35,730.50 +0.676% -4.352% 📈
2021-10-21 35,603.10 -0.017% -4.369% 📉
2021-10-14 34,912.60 +1.556% -2.813% 📈
2021-10-07 34,754.90 +0.982% -1.831% 📈
2021-09-30 33,843.90 -1.590% -3.421% 📉
2021-09-23 34,764.80 +1.478% -1.943% 📈
2021-09-16 34,751.30 -0.181% -2.124% 📉
2021-09-09 34,879.40 -0.433% -2.557% 📉
2021-09-02 35,443.80 +0.372% -2.185% 📈
2021-08-26 35,213.10 -0.543% -2.728% 📉
2021-08-19 34,894.10 -0.190% -2.918% 📉
2021-08-12 35,499.90 +0.042% -2.876% 📈
2021-08-05 35,064.20 +0.780% -2.096% 📈