📈 S&P500の月曜日「上がりやすさ」分析

検証仮説:「週明け(月曜)は上昇しやすく、週末(金曜)は下落しやすい」 — S&P500の曜日別騰落率を分析

TOP】【指数・為替・商品一覧】【関連銘柄


国内株価
市場指標
S&P500 : 2021-09-15 〜 2026-09-15(基準日: 2026-09-15)| サンプル総数: 1228 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
59.8%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
140/234日
火曜
 
上昇確率
59.8%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
140/234日
水曜
 
上昇確率
53.7%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
138/257日
木曜
 
上昇確率
49.8%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
125/251日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
53.2%
平均騰落率
+0.04%
上昇日数
134/252日
曜日 サンプル 上昇確率 下落確率 もみ合 平均騰落 平均上昇 平均下落 最大上昇 最大下落 上昇-下落
月曜週明け 234日 59.8% 40.2% 0.0% +0.10% +0.64% -0.71% +3.26% -3.88% +19.7%
火曜 234日 59.8% 40.2% 0.0% +0.10% +0.64% -0.71% +3.26% -3.88% +19.7%
水曜 257日 53.7% 45.5% 0.8% +0.10% +0.81% -0.74% +9.52% -4.04% +8.2%
木曜 251日 49.8% 49.8% 0.4% -0.01% +0.83% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.0%
金曜週末 252日 53.2% 46.8% 0.0% +0.04% +0.82% -0.85% +3.06% -5.97% +6.3%
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1 月曜 59.8% (平均+0.10%)
2 火曜 59.8% (平均+0.10%)
3 水曜 53.7% (平均+0.10%)
4 金曜 53.2% (平均+0.04%)
5 木曜 49.8% (平均-0.01%)
📊 検証結果サマリー

月曜(週明け):上昇確率 59.8%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい

金曜(週末):上昇確率 53.2%(4位) → 上昇しやすい傾向あり

月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +6.7% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を支持

📉 月曜日の騰落率推移チャート

各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。

月曜日 の騰落率推移 | データ数: 234件 | 平均: +0.097% | 最新: -0.483%
📋 月曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
日付 終値 騰落率 累積騰落率 判定
2026-09-14 7,619.98 -0.483% -0.483% 📉
2026-08-31 7,686.14 -0.332% -0.815% 📉
2026-08-24 7,652.86 -0.280% -1.095% 📉
2026-08-17 7,745.06 -0.523% -1.618% 📉
2026-08-10 7,753.11 -0.058% -1.676% 📉
2026-08-03 7,600.50 +1.479% -0.197% 📈
2026-07-27 7,413.18 +0.016% -0.181% 📈
2026-07-20 7,443.28 -0.193% -0.374% 📉
2026-07-13 7,515.34 -0.793% -1.167% 📉
2026-07-06 7,537.43 +0.724% -0.443% 📈
2026-06-29 7,440.43 +1.175% +0.732% 📈
2026-06-22 7,472.79 -0.371% +0.361% 📉
2026-06-15 7,554.29 +1.653% +2.014% 📈
2026-06-08 7,405.73 +0.298% +2.312% 📈
2026-06-01 7,599.96 +0.263% +2.575% 📈
2026-05-18 7,403.05 -0.074% +2.501% 📉
2026-05-11 7,412.84 +0.188% +2.689% 📈
2026-05-04 7,200.75 -0.406% +2.283% 📉
2026-04-27 7,173.91 +0.123% +2.406% 📈
2026-04-20 7,109.14 -0.237% +2.169% 📉
2026-04-13 6,886.24 +1.017% +3.186% 📈
2026-04-06 6,611.83 +0.443% +3.629% 📈
2026-03-30 6,343.72 -0.395% +3.234% 📉
2026-03-23 6,581.00 +1.145% +4.379% 📈
2026-03-16 6,699.38 +1.013% +5.392% 📈
2026-03-09 6,795.99 +0.830% +6.222% 📈
2026-03-02 6,881.62 +0.040% +6.262% 📈
2026-02-23 6,837.75 -1.039% +5.223% 📉
2026-02-09 6,964.82 +0.469% +5.692% 📈
2026-02-02 6,976.44 +0.539% +6.231% 📈
2026-01-26 6,950.23 +0.501% +6.732% 📈
2026-01-12 6,977.27 +0.158% +6.890% 📈
2026-01-05 6,902.05 +0.635% +7.525% 📈
2025-12-29 6,905.74 -0.349% +7.176% 📉
2025-12-22 6,878.49 +0.644% +7.820% 📈
2025-12-15 6,816.51 -0.160% +7.660% 📉
2025-12-08 6,846.51 -0.348% +7.312% 📉
2025-12-01 6,812.63 -0.532% +6.780% 📉
2025-11-24 6,705.12 +1.547% +8.327% 📈
2025-11-17 6,672.41 -0.916% +7.411% 📉
2025-11-10 6,832.43 +1.540% +8.951% 📈
2025-11-03 6,851.97 +0.172% +9.123% 📈
2025-10-27 6,875.16 +1.229% +10.352% 📈
2025-10-20 6,735.13 +1.067% +11.419% 📈
2025-10-13 6,654.72 +1.560% +12.979% 📈
2025-10-06 6,740.28 +0.365% +13.344% 📈
2025-09-29 6,661.21 +0.264% +13.608% 📈
2025-09-22 6,693.75 +0.441% +14.049% 📈
2025-09-15 6,615.28 +0.471% +14.520% 📈
2025-09-08 6,495.15 +0.211% +14.731% 📈
2025-08-25 6,439.32 -0.427% +14.304% 📉
2025-08-18 6,449.15 -0.010% +14.294% 📉
2025-08-11 6,373.45 -0.250% +14.044% 📉
2025-08-04 6,329.94 +1.474% +15.518% 📈
2025-07-28 6,389.77 +0.018% +15.536% 📈
2025-07-21 6,305.60 +0.140% +15.676% 📈
2025-07-14 6,268.56 +0.141% +15.817% 📈
2025-07-07 6,229.98 -0.786% +15.031% 📉
2025-06-30 6,204.95 +0.516% +15.547% 📈
2025-06-23 6,025.17 +0.961% +16.508% 📈
2025-06-16 6,033.11 +0.939% +17.447% 📈
2025-06-09 6,005.88 +0.092% +17.539% 📈
2025-06-02 5,935.94 +0.410% +17.949% 📈
2025-05-19 5,963.60 +0.088% +18.037% 📈
2025-05-12 5,844.19 +3.256% +21.293% 📈
2025-05-05 5,650.38 -0.638% +20.655% 📉
2025-04-28 5,528.75 +0.064% +20.719% 📈
2025-04-21 5,158.20 -2.357% +18.362% 📉
2025-04-14 5,405.97 +0.794% +19.156% 📈
2025-04-07 5,062.25 -0.233% +18.923% 📉
2025-03-31 5,611.85 +0.554% +19.477% 📈
2025-03-24 5,767.57 +1.765% +21.242% 📈
2025-03-17 5,675.12 +0.642% +21.884% 📈
2025-03-10 5,614.56 -2.697% +19.187% 📉
2025-03-03 5,849.72 -1.760% +17.427% 📉
2025-02-24 5,983.25 -0.497% +16.930% 📉
2025-02-10 6,066.44 +0.671% +17.601% 📈
2025-02-03 5,994.57 -0.761% +16.840% 📉
2025-01-27 6,012.28 -1.458% +15.382% 📉
2025-01-13 5,836.22 +0.158% +15.540% 📈
2025-01-06 5,975.38 +0.554% +16.094% 📈
2024-12-30 5,906.94 -1.070% +15.024% 📉
2024-12-23 5,974.07 +0.729% +15.753% 📈
2024-12-16 6,074.08 +0.380% +16.133% 📈
2024-12-09 6,052.85 -0.614% +15.519% 📉
2024-12-02 6,047.15 +0.245% +15.764% 📈
2024-11-25 5,987.37 +0.302% +16.066% 📈
2024-11-18 5,893.62 +0.392% +16.458% 📈
2024-11-11 6,001.35 +0.097% +16.555% 📈
2024-11-04 5,712.69 -0.281% +16.274% 📉
2024-10-28 5,823.52 +0.265% +16.539% 📈
2024-10-21 5,853.98 -0.182% +16.357% 📉
2024-10-14 5,859.85 +0.771% +17.128% 📈
2024-10-07 5,695.94 -0.959% +16.169% 📉
2024-09-30 5,762.48 +0.424% +16.593% 📈
2024-09-23 5,718.57 +0.281% +16.874% 📈
2024-09-16 5,633.09 +0.126% +17.000% 📈
2024-09-09 5,471.05 +1.158% +18.158% 📈
2024-08-26 5,616.84 -0.315% +17.843% 📉
2024-08-19 5,608.25 +0.972% +18.815% 📈
2024-08-12 5,344.39 +0.004% +18.819% 📈
2024-08-05 5,186.33 -2.997% +15.822% 📉
2024-07-29 5,463.54 +0.081% +15.903% 📈
2024-07-22 5,564.41 +1.079% +16.982% 📈
2024-07-15 5,631.22 +0.283% +17.265% 📈
2024-07-08 5,572.85 +0.102% +17.367% 📈
2024-07-01 5,475.09 +0.268% +17.635% 📈
2024-06-24 5,447.87 -0.307% +17.328% 📉
2024-06-17 5,473.23 +0.766% +18.094% 📈
2024-06-10 5,360.79 +0.258% +18.352% 📈
2024-06-03 5,283.40 +0.112% +18.464% 📈
2024-05-20 5,308.13 +0.092% +18.556% 📈
2024-05-13 5,221.42 -0.024% +18.532% 📉
2024-05-06 5,180.74 +1.033% +19.565% 📈
2024-04-29 5,116.17 +0.318% +19.883% 📈
2024-04-22 5,010.60 +0.873% +20.756% 📈
2024-04-15 5,061.82 -1.202% +19.554% 📉
2024-04-08 5,202.39 -0.037% +19.517% 📉
2024-04-01 5,243.77 -0.201% +19.316% 📉
2024-03-25 5,218.19 -0.305% +19.011% 📉
2024-03-18 5,149.42 +0.632% +19.643% 📈
2024-03-11 5,117.94 -0.112% +19.531% 📉
2024-03-04 5,130.95 -0.119% +19.412% 📉
2024-02-26 5,069.53 -0.379% +19.033% 📉
2024-02-12 5,021.84 -0.095% +18.938% 📉
2024-02-05 4,942.81 -0.319% +18.619% 📉
2024-01-29 4,927.93 +0.756% +19.375% 📈
2024-01-22 4,850.43 +0.219% +19.594% 📈
2024-01-08 4,763.54 +1.411% +21.005% 📈
2023-12-18 4,740.56 +0.453% +21.458% 📈
2023-12-11 4,622.44 +0.392% +21.850% 📈
2023-12-04 4,569.78 -0.541% +21.309% 📉
2023-11-27 4,550.43 -0.195% +21.114% 📉
2023-11-20 4,547.38 +0.739% +21.853% 📈
2023-11-13 4,411.55 -0.084% +21.769% 📉
2023-11-06 4,365.98 +0.175% +21.944% 📈
2023-10-30 4,166.82 +1.201% +23.145% 📈
2023-10-23 4,217.04 -0.169% +22.976% 📉
2023-10-16 4,373.63 +1.059% +24.035% 📈
2023-10-09 4,335.66 +0.630% +24.665% 📈
2023-10-02 4,288.39 +0.008% +24.673% 📈
2023-09-25 4,337.44 +0.402% +25.075% 📈
2023-09-18 4,453.53 +0.072% +25.147% 📈
2023-09-11 4,487.46 +0.672% +25.819% 📈
2023-08-28 4,433.31 +0.626% +26.445% 📈
2023-08-21 4,399.77 +0.688% +27.133% 📈
2023-08-14 4,489.72 +0.575% +27.708% 📈
2023-08-07 4,518.44 +0.902% +28.610% 📈
2023-07-31 4,588.96 +0.147% +28.757% 📈
2023-07-24 4,554.64 +0.403% +29.160% 📈
2023-07-17 4,522.79 +0.386% +29.546% 📈
2023-07-10 4,409.53 +0.241% +29.787% 📈
2023-07-03 4,455.59 +0.117% +29.904% 📈
2023-06-26 4,328.82 -0.449% +29.455% 📉
2023-06-12 4,338.93 +0.932% +30.387% 📈
2023-06-05 4,273.79 -0.200% +30.187% 📉
2023-05-22 4,192.63 +0.016% +30.203% 📈
2023-05-15 4,136.28 +0.296% +30.499% 📈
2023-05-08 4,138.12 +0.045% +30.544% 📈
2023-05-01 4,167.87 -0.039% +30.505% 📉
2023-04-24 4,137.04 +0.085% +30.590% 📈
2023-04-17 4,151.32 +0.331% +30.921% 📈
2023-04-10 4,109.11 +0.100% +31.021% 📈
2023-04-03 4,124.51 +0.370% +31.391% 📈
2023-03-27 3,977.53 +0.165% +31.556% 📈
2023-03-20 3,951.57 +0.892% +32.448% 📈
2023-03-13 3,855.76 -0.151% +32.297% 📉
2023-03-06 4,048.42 +0.069% +32.366% 📈
2023-02-27 3,982.24 +0.307% +32.673% 📈
2023-02-13 4,137.29 +1.145% +33.818% 📈
2023-02-06 4,111.08 -0.614% +33.204% 📉
2023-01-30 4,017.77 -1.297% +31.907% 📉
2023-01-23 4,019.81 +1.188% +33.095% 📈
2023-01-09 3,892.09 -0.077% +33.018% 📉
2022-12-19 3,817.66 -0.901% +32.117% 📉
2022-12-12 3,990.56 +1.428% +33.545% 📈
2022-12-05 3,998.84 -1.789% +31.756% 📉
2022-11-28 3,963.94 -1.544% +30.212% 📉
2022-11-21 3,949.94 -0.388% +29.824% 📉
2022-11-14 3,957.25 -0.894% +28.930% 📉
2022-11-07 3,806.80 +0.961% +29.891% 📈
2022-10-31 3,871.98 -0.745% +29.146% 📉
2022-10-24 3,797.34 +1.188% +30.334% 📈
2022-10-17 3,677.95 +2.648% +32.982% 📈
2022-10-10 3,612.39 -0.749% +32.233% 📉
2022-10-03 3,678.43 +2.588% +34.821% 📈
2022-09-26 3,655.04 -1.034% +33.787% 📉
2022-09-19 3,899.89 +0.686% +34.473% 📈
2022-09-12 4,110.41 +1.058% +35.531% 📈
2022-08-29 4,030.61 -0.667% +34.864% 📉
2022-08-22 4,137.99 -2.140% +32.724% 📉
2022-08-15 4,297.14 +0.397% +33.121% 📈
2022-08-08 4,140.06 -0.124% +32.997% 📉
2022-08-01 4,118.63 -0.282% +32.715% 📉
2022-07-25 3,966.84 +0.132% +32.847% 📈
2022-07-18 3,830.85 -0.836% +32.011% 📉
2022-07-11 3,854.43 -1.153% +30.858% 📉
2022-06-27 3,900.11 -0.297% +30.561% 📉
2022-06-13 3,749.63 -3.877% +26.684% 📉
2022-06-06 4,121.43 +0.314% +26.998% 📈
2022-05-23 3,973.75 +1.856% +28.854% 📈
2022-05-16 4,008.01 -0.395% +28.459% 📉
2022-05-09 3,991.24 -3.204% +25.255% 📉
2022-05-02 4,155.38 +0.568% +25.823% 📈
2022-04-25 4,296.12 +0.570% +26.393% 📈
2022-04-18 4,391.69 -0.020% +26.373% 📉
2022-04-11 4,412.53 -1.688% +24.685% 📉
2022-04-04 4,582.64 +0.809% +25.494% 📈
2022-03-28 4,575.52 +0.714% +26.208% 📈
2022-03-21 4,461.18 -0.043% +26.165% 📉
2022-03-14 4,173.11 -0.742% +25.423% 📉
2022-03-07 4,201.09 -2.952% +22.471% 📉
2022-02-28 4,373.94 -0.244% +22.227% 📉
2022-02-14 4,401.67 -0.384% +21.843% 📉
2022-02-07 4,483.87 -0.370% +21.473% 📉
2022-01-31 4,515.55 +1.889% +23.362% 📈
2022-01-24 4,410.13 +0.277% +23.639% 📈
2022-01-10 4,670.29 -0.144% +23.495% 📉
2022-01-03 4,796.56 +0.637% +24.132% 📈
2021-12-27 4,791.19 +1.384% +25.516% 📈
2021-12-20 4,568.02 -1.139% +24.377% 📉
2021-12-13 4,668.97 -0.914% +23.463% 📉
2021-12-06 4,591.67 +1.173% +24.636% 📈
2021-11-29 4,655.27 +1.320% +25.956% 📈
2021-11-22 4,682.94 -0.320% +25.636% 📉
2021-11-15 4,682.80 -0.001% +25.635% 📉
2021-11-08 4,701.70 +0.089% +25.724% 📈
2021-11-01 4,613.67 +0.180% +25.904% 📈
2021-10-25 4,566.48 +0.475% +26.379% 📈
2021-10-18 4,486.46 +0.337% +26.716% 📈
2021-10-11 4,361.19 -0.687% +26.029% 📉
2021-10-04 4,300.46 -1.299% +24.730% 📉
2021-09-27 4,443.11 -0.278% +24.452% 📉
2021-09-20 4,357.73 -1.698% +22.754% 📉