📈 S&P500の火曜日「上がりやすさ」分析

検証仮説:「週明け(月曜)は上昇しやすく、週末(金曜)は下落しやすい」 — S&P500の曜日別騰落率を分析

TOP】【指数・為替・商品一覧】【関連銘柄


国内株価
市場指標
S&P500 : 2021-07-31 〜 2026-07-31(基準日: 2026-07-31)| サンプル総数: 1253 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
61.4%
平均騰落率
+0.11%
上昇日数
143/233日
火曜
 
上昇確率
50.0%
平均騰落率
+0.02%
上昇日数
130/260日
水曜
 
上昇確率
53.9%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
139/258日
木曜
 
上昇確率
50.2%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
126/251日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
50.2%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
126/251日
曜日 サンプル 上昇確率 下落確率 もみ合 平均騰落 平均上昇 平均下落 最大上昇 最大下落 上昇-下落
月曜週明け 233日 61.4% 38.6% 0.0% +0.11% +0.63% -0.72% +3.26% -3.88% +22.7%
火曜 260日 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% +0.02% +0.73% -0.69% +3.06% -4.32% +0.0%
水曜 258日 53.9% 45.3% 0.8% +0.10% +0.81% -0.74% +9.52% -4.04% +8.5%
木曜 251日 50.2% 49.4% 0.4% -0.01% +0.82% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.8%
金曜週末 251日 50.2% 49.4% 0.4% -0.01% +0.82% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.8%
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1 月曜 61.4% (平均+0.11%)
2 水曜 53.9% (平均+0.10%)
3 木曜 50.2% (平均-0.01%)
4 金曜 50.2% (平均-0.01%)
5 火曜 50.0% (平均+0.02%)
📊 検証結果サマリー

月曜(週明け):上昇確率 61.4%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい

金曜(週末):上昇確率 50.2%(4位) → 上昇しやすい傾向あり

月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +11.2% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を強く支持

📉 火曜日の騰落率推移チャート

各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。

火曜日 の騰落率推移 | データ数: 260件 | 平均: +0.020% | 最新: +0.210%
📋 火曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
日付 終値 騰落率 累積騰落率 判定
2026-07-28 7,428.78 +0.210% +0.210% 📈
2026-07-21 7,509.20 +0.886% +1.096% 📈
2026-07-14 7,543.59 +0.376% +1.472% 📈
2026-07-07 7,503.85 -0.446% +1.026% 📉
2026-06-30 7,499.36 +0.792% +1.818% 📈
2026-06-23 7,365.46 -1.436% +0.382% 📉
2026-06-16 7,511.35 -0.568% -0.186% 📉
2026-06-09 7,386.65 -0.258% -0.444% 📉
2026-06-02 7,609.78 +0.129% -0.315% 📈
2026-05-26 7,519.12 +0.611% +0.296% 📈
2026-05-19 7,353.61 -0.668% -0.372% 📉
2026-05-12 7,400.96 -0.160% -0.532% 📉
2026-05-05 7,259.22 +0.812% +0.280% 📈
2026-04-28 7,138.80 -0.489% -0.209% 📉
2026-04-21 7,064.01 -0.635% -0.844% 📉
2026-04-14 6,967.38 +1.178% +0.334% 📈
2026-04-07 6,616.85 +0.076% +0.410% 📈
2026-03-31 6,528.52 +2.913% +3.323% 📈
2026-03-24 6,556.37 -0.374% +2.949% 📉
2026-03-17 6,716.09 +0.249% +3.198% 📈
2026-03-10 6,781.48 -0.214% +2.984% 📉
2026-03-03 6,816.63 -0.944% +2.040% 📉
2026-02-24 6,890.07 +0.765% +2.805% 📈
2026-02-17 6,843.22 +0.103% +2.908% 📈
2026-02-10 6,941.81 -0.330% +2.578% 📉
2026-02-03 6,917.81 -0.840% +1.738% 📉
2026-01-27 6,978.60 +0.408% +2.146% 📈
2026-01-20 6,796.86 -2.063% +0.083% 📉
2026-01-13 6,963.74 -0.194% -0.111% 📉
2026-01-06 6,944.82 +0.620% +0.509% 📈
2025-12-30 6,896.24 -0.138% +0.371% 📉
2025-12-23 6,909.79 +0.455% +0.826% 📈
2025-12-16 6,800.26 -0.238% +0.588% 📉
2025-12-09 6,840.51 -0.088% +0.500% 📉
2025-12-02 6,829.37 +0.246% +0.746% 📈
2025-11-25 6,765.88 +0.906% +1.652% 📈
2025-11-18 6,617.32 -0.826% +0.826% 📉
2025-11-11 6,846.61 +0.208% +1.034% 📈
2025-11-04 6,771.55 -1.174% -0.140% 📉
2025-10-28 6,890.89 +0.229% +0.089% 📈
2025-10-21 6,735.35 +0.003% +0.092% 📈
2025-10-14 6,644.31 -0.156% -0.064% 📉
2025-10-07 6,714.59 -0.381% -0.445% 📉
2025-09-30 6,688.46 +0.409% -0.036% 📈
2025-09-23 6,656.92 -0.550% -0.586% 📉
2025-09-16 6,606.76 -0.129% -0.715% 📉
2025-09-09 6,512.61 +0.269% -0.446% 📈
2025-09-02 6,415.54 -0.692% -1.138% 📉
2025-08-26 6,465.94 +0.413% -0.725% 📈
2025-08-19 6,411.37 -0.586% -1.311% 📉
2025-08-12 6,445.76 +1.135% -0.176% 📈
2025-08-05 6,299.19 -0.486% -0.662% 📉
2025-07-29 6,370.86 -0.296% -0.958% 📉
2025-07-22 6,309.62 +0.064% -0.894% 📈
2025-07-15 6,243.76 -0.396% -1.290% 📉
2025-07-08 6,225.52 -0.072% -1.362% 📉
2025-07-01 6,198.01 -0.112% -1.474% 📉
2025-06-24 6,092.18 +1.112% -0.362% 📈
2025-06-17 5,982.72 -0.835% -1.197% 📉
2025-06-10 6,038.81 +0.548% -0.649% 📈
2025-06-03 5,970.37 +0.580% -0.069% 📈
2025-05-27 5,921.54 +2.046% +1.977% 📈
2025-05-20 5,940.46 -0.388% +1.589% 📉
2025-05-13 5,886.55 +0.725% +2.314% 📈
2025-05-06 5,606.91 -0.769% +1.545% 📉
2025-04-29 5,560.83 +0.580% +2.125% 📈
2025-04-22 5,287.76 +2.512% +4.637% 📈
2025-04-15 5,396.63 -0.173% +4.464% 📉
2025-04-08 4,982.77 -1.570% +2.894% 📉
2025-04-01 5,633.07 +0.378% +3.272% 📈
2025-03-25 5,776.65 +0.157% +3.429% 📈
2025-03-18 5,614.66 -1.065% +2.364% 📉
2025-03-11 5,572.07 -0.757% +1.607% 📉
2025-03-04 5,778.15 -1.223% +0.384% 📉
2025-02-25 5,955.25 -0.468% -0.084% 📉
2025-02-18 6,129.58 +0.244% +0.160% 📈
2025-02-11 6,068.50 +0.034% +0.194% 📈
2025-02-04 6,037.88 +0.722% +0.916% 📈
2025-01-28 6,067.70 +0.922% +1.838% 📈
2025-01-21 6,049.24 +0.877% +2.715% 📈
2025-01-14 5,842.91 +0.115% +2.830% 📈
2025-01-07 5,909.03 -1.110% +1.720% 📉
2024-12-31 5,881.63 -0.428% +1.292% 📉
2024-12-24 6,040.04 +1.104% +2.396% 📈
2024-12-17 6,050.61 -0.386% +2.010% 📉
2024-12-10 6,034.91 -0.296% +1.714% 📉
2024-12-03 6,049.88 +0.045% +1.759% 📈
2024-11-26 6,021.63 +0.572% +2.331% 📈
2024-11-19 5,916.98 +0.396% +2.727% 📈
2024-11-12 5,983.99 -0.289% +2.438% 📉
2024-11-05 5,782.76 +1.227% +3.665% 📈
2024-10-29 5,832.92 +0.161% +3.826% 📈
2024-10-22 5,851.20 -0.047% +3.779% 📉
2024-10-15 5,815.26 -0.761% +3.018% 📉
2024-10-08 5,751.13 +0.969% +3.987% 📈
2024-10-01 5,708.75 -0.932% +3.055% 📉
2024-09-24 5,732.93 +0.251% +3.306% 📈
2024-09-17 5,634.58 +0.026% +3.332% 📈
2024-09-10 5,495.52 +0.447% +3.779% 📈
2024-09-03 5,528.93 -2.115% +1.664% 📉
2024-08-27 5,625.80 +0.160% +1.824% 📈
2024-08-20 5,597.12 -0.198% +1.626% 📉
2024-08-13 5,434.43 +1.685% +3.311% 📈
2024-08-06 5,240.03 +1.035% +4.346% 📈
2024-07-30 5,436.44 -0.496% +3.850% 📉
2024-07-23 5,555.74 -0.156% +3.694% 📉
2024-07-16 5,667.20 +0.639% +4.333% 📈
2024-07-09 5,576.98 +0.074% +4.407% 📈
2024-07-02 5,509.01 +0.620% +5.027% 📈
2024-06-25 5,469.30 +0.393% +5.420% 📈
2024-06-18 5,487.03 +0.252% +5.672% 📈
2024-06-11 5,375.32 +0.271% +5.943% 📈
2024-06-04 5,291.34 +0.150% +6.093% 📈
2024-05-28 5,306.04 +0.025% +6.118% 📈
2024-05-21 5,321.41 +0.250% +6.368% 📈
2024-05-14 5,246.68 +0.484% +6.852% 📈
2024-05-07 5,187.70 +0.134% +6.986% 📈
2024-04-30 5,035.69 -1.573% +5.413% 📉
2024-04-23 5,070.55 +1.196% +6.609% 📈
2024-04-16 5,051.41 -0.206% +6.403% 📉
2024-04-09 5,209.91 +0.145% +6.548% 📈
2024-04-02 5,205.81 -0.724% +5.824% 📉
2024-03-26 5,203.58 -0.280% +5.544% 📉
2024-03-19 5,178.51 +0.565% +6.109% 📈
2024-03-12 5,175.27 +1.120% +7.229% 📈
2024-03-05 5,078.65 -1.019% +6.210% 📉
2024-02-27 5,078.18 +0.171% +6.381% 📈
2024-02-20 4,975.51 -0.601% +5.780% 📉
2024-02-13 4,953.17 -1.367% +4.413% 📉
2024-02-06 4,954.23 +0.231% +4.644% 📈
2024-01-30 4,924.97 -0.060% +4.584% 📉
2024-01-23 4,864.60 +0.292% +4.876% 📈
2024-01-16 4,765.98 -0.373% +4.503% 📉
2024-01-09 4,756.50 -0.148% +4.355% 📉
2024-01-02 4,742.83 -0.566% +3.789% 📉
2023-12-26 4,774.75 +0.423% +4.212% 📈
2023-12-19 4,768.37 +0.587% +4.799% 📈
2023-12-12 4,643.70 +0.460% +5.259% 📈
2023-12-05 4,567.18 -0.057% +5.202% 📉
2023-11-28 4,554.89 +0.098% +5.300% 📈
2023-11-21 4,538.19 -0.202% +5.098% 📉
2023-11-14 4,495.70 +1.907% +7.005% 📈
2023-11-07 4,378.38 +0.284% +7.289% 📈
2023-10-31 4,193.80 +0.647% +7.936% 📈
2023-10-24 4,247.68 +0.727% +8.663% 📈
2023-10-17 4,373.20 -0.010% +8.653% 📉
2023-10-10 4,358.24 +0.521% +9.174% 📈
2023-10-03 4,229.45 -1.374% +7.800% 📉
2023-09-26 4,273.53 -1.473% +6.327% 📉
2023-09-19 4,443.95 -0.215% +6.112% 📉
2023-09-12 4,461.90 -0.570% +5.542% 📉
2023-09-05 4,496.83 -0.419% +5.123% 📉
2023-08-29 4,497.63 +1.451% +6.574% 📈
2023-08-22 4,387.55 -0.278% +6.296% 📉
2023-08-15 4,437.86 -1.155% +5.141% 📉
2023-08-08 4,499.38 -0.422% +4.719% 📉
2023-08-01 4,576.73 -0.267% +4.452% 📉
2023-07-25 4,567.46 +0.281% +4.733% 📈
2023-07-18 4,554.98 +0.712% +5.445% 📈
2023-07-11 4,439.26 +0.674% +6.119% 📈
2023-06-27 4,378.41 +1.146% +7.265% 📈
2023-06-20 4,388.71 -0.474% +6.791% 📉
2023-06-13 4,369.01 +0.693% +7.484% 📈
2023-06-06 4,283.85 +0.235% +7.719% 📈
2023-05-30 4,205.52 +0.002% +7.721% 📈
2023-05-23 4,145.58 -1.122% +6.599% 📉
2023-05-16 4,109.90 -0.638% +5.961% 📉
2023-05-09 4,119.17 -0.458% +5.503% 📉
2023-05-02 4,119.58 -1.159% +4.344% 📉
2023-04-25 4,071.63 -1.581% +2.763% 📉
2023-04-18 4,154.87 +0.086% +2.849% 📈
2023-04-11 4,108.94 -0.004% +2.845% 📉
2023-04-04 4,100.60 -0.580% +2.265% 📉
2023-03-28 3,971.27 -0.157% +2.108% 📉
2023-03-21 4,002.87 +1.298% +3.406% 📈
2023-03-14 3,919.29 +1.648% +5.054% 📈
2023-03-07 3,986.37 -1.533% +3.521% 📉
2023-02-28 3,970.15 -0.304% +3.217% 📉
2023-02-21 3,997.34 -2.004% +1.213% 📉
2023-02-14 4,136.13 -0.028% +1.185% 📉
2023-02-07 4,164.00 +1.287% +2.472% 📈
2023-01-31 4,076.60 +1.464% +3.936% 📈
2023-01-24 4,016.95 -0.071% +3.865% 📉
2023-01-17 3,990.97 -0.203% +3.662% 📉
2023-01-10 3,919.25 +0.698% +4.360% 📈
2023-01-03 3,824.14 -0.400% +3.960% 📉
2022-12-27 3,829.25 -0.405% +3.555% 📉
2022-12-20 3,821.62 +0.104% +3.659% 📈
2022-12-13 4,019.65 +0.729% +4.388% 📈
2022-12-06 3,941.26 -1.440% +2.948% 📉
2022-11-29 3,957.63 -0.159% +2.789% 📉
2022-11-22 4,003.58 +1.358% +4.147% 📈
2022-11-15 3,991.73 +0.871% +5.018% 📈
2022-11-08 3,828.11 +0.560% +5.578% 📈
2022-11-01 3,856.10 -0.410% +5.168% 📉
2022-10-25 3,859.11 +1.627% +6.795% 📈
2022-10-18 3,719.98 +1.143% +7.938% 📈
2022-10-11 3,588.84 -0.652% +7.286% 📉
2022-10-04 3,790.93 +3.058% +10.344% 📈
2022-09-27 3,647.29 -0.212% +10.132% 📉
2022-09-20 3,855.93 -1.127% +9.005% 📉
2022-09-13 3,932.69 -4.324% +4.681% 📉
2022-09-06 3,908.19 -0.410% +4.271% 📉
2022-08-30 3,986.16 -1.103% +3.168% 📉
2022-08-23 4,128.73 -0.224% +2.944% 📉
2022-08-16 4,305.20 +0.188% +3.132% 📈
2022-08-09 4,122.47 -0.425% +2.707% 📉
2022-08-02 4,091.19 -0.666% +2.041% 📉
2022-07-26 3,921.05 -1.154% +0.887% 📉
2022-07-19 3,936.69 +2.763% +3.650% 📈
2022-07-12 3,818.80 -0.924% +2.726% 📉
2022-07-05 3,831.39 +0.158% +2.884% 📈
2022-06-28 3,821.55 -2.014% +0.870% 📉
2022-06-21 3,764.79 +2.448% +3.318% 📈
2022-06-14 3,735.48 -0.377% +2.941% 📉
2022-06-07 4,160.68 +0.952% +3.893% 📈
2022-05-31 4,132.15 -0.627% +3.266% 📉
2022-05-24 3,941.48 -0.812% +2.454% 📉
2022-05-17 4,088.85 +2.017% +4.471% 📈
2022-05-10 4,001.05 +0.246% +4.717% 📈
2022-05-03 4,175.48 +0.484% +5.201% 📈
2022-04-26 4,175.20 -2.815% +2.386% 📉
2022-04-19 4,462.21 +1.606% +3.992% 📈
2022-04-12 4,397.45 -0.342% +3.650% 📉
2022-04-05 4,525.12 -1.255% +2.395% 📉
2022-03-29 4,631.60 +1.226% +3.621% 📈
2022-03-22 4,511.61 +1.130% +4.751% 📈
2022-03-15 4,262.45 +2.141% +6.892% 📈
2022-03-08 4,170.70 -0.723% +6.169% 📉
2022-03-01 4,306.26 -1.547% +4.622% 📉
2022-02-22 4,304.76 -1.014% +3.608% 📉
2022-02-15 4,471.07 +1.577% +5.185% 📈
2022-02-08 4,521.54 +0.840% +6.025% 📈
2022-02-01 4,546.54 +0.686% +6.711% 📈
2022-01-25 4,356.45 -1.217% +5.494% 📉
2022-01-18 4,577.11 -1.839% +3.655% 📉
2022-01-11 4,713.07 +0.916% +4.571% 📈
2022-01-04 4,793.54 -0.063% +4.508% 📉
2021-12-28 4,786.35 -0.101% +4.407% 📉
2021-12-21 4,649.23 +1.778% +6.185% 📈
2021-12-14 4,634.09 -0.747% +5.438% 📉
2021-12-07 4,686.75 +2.071% +7.509% 📈
2021-11-30 4,567.00 -1.896% +5.613% 📉
2021-11-23 4,690.70 +0.166% +5.779% 📈
2021-11-16 4,700.90 +0.387% +6.166% 📈
2021-11-09 4,685.25 -0.350% +5.816% 📉
2021-11-02 4,630.65 +0.368% +6.184% 📈
2021-10-26 4,574.79 +0.182% +6.366% 📈
2021-10-19 4,519.63 +0.739% +7.105% 📈
2021-10-12 4,350.65 -0.242% +6.863% 📉
2021-10-05 4,345.72 +1.052% +7.915% 📈
2021-09-28 4,352.63 -2.036% +5.879% 📉
2021-09-21 4,354.19 -0.081% +5.798% 📉
2021-09-14 4,443.05 -0.575% +5.223% 📉
2021-09-07 4,520.03 -0.340% +4.883% 📉
2021-08-31 4,522.68 -0.135% +4.748% 📉
2021-08-24 4,486.23 +0.150% +4.898% 📈
2021-08-17 4,448.08 -0.706% +4.192% 📉
2021-08-10 4,436.75 +0.099% +4.291% 📈
2021-08-03 4,423.15 +0.820% +5.111% 📈