📈 S&P500の水曜日「上がりやすさ」分析

検証仮説:「週明け(月曜)は上昇しやすく、週末(金曜)は下落しやすい」 — S&P500の曜日別騰落率を分析

TOP】【指数・為替・商品一覧】【関連銘柄


国内株価
市場指標
S&P500 : 2021-09-15 〜 2026-09-15(基準日: 2026-09-15)| サンプル総数: 1228 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
59.8%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
140/234日
火曜
 
上昇確率
59.8%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
140/234日
水曜
 
上昇確率
53.7%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
138/257日
木曜
 
上昇確率
49.8%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
125/251日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
53.2%
平均騰落率
+0.04%
上昇日数
134/252日
曜日 サンプル 上昇確率 下落確率 もみ合 平均騰落 平均上昇 平均下落 最大上昇 最大下落 上昇-下落
月曜週明け 234日 59.8% 40.2% 0.0% +0.10% +0.64% -0.71% +3.26% -3.88% +19.7%
火曜 234日 59.8% 40.2% 0.0% +0.10% +0.64% -0.71% +3.26% -3.88% +19.7%
水曜 257日 53.7% 45.5% 0.8% +0.10% +0.81% -0.74% +9.52% -4.04% +8.2%
木曜 251日 49.8% 49.8% 0.4% -0.01% +0.83% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.0%
金曜週末 252日 53.2% 46.8% 0.0% +0.04% +0.82% -0.85% +3.06% -5.97% +6.3%
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1 月曜 59.8% (平均+0.10%)
2 火曜 59.8% (平均+0.10%)
3 水曜 53.7% (平均+0.10%)
4 金曜 53.2% (平均+0.04%)
5 木曜 49.8% (平均-0.01%)
📊 検証結果サマリー

月曜(週明け):上昇確率 59.8%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい

金曜(週末):上昇確率 53.2%(4位) → 上昇しやすい傾向あり

月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +6.7% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を支持

📉 水曜日の騰落率推移チャート

各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。

水曜日 の騰落率推移 | データ数: 257件 | 平均: +0.100% | 最新: -0.484%
📋 水曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
日付 終値 騰落率 累積騰落率 判定
2026-09-09 7,636.36 -0.484% -0.484% 📉
2026-09-02 7,666.60 +0.460% -0.024% 📈
2026-08-26 7,675.70 -0.021% -0.045% 📉
2026-08-19 7,707.98 +0.211% +0.166% 📈
2026-08-12 7,748.50 +0.263% +0.429% 📈
2026-08-05 7,723.55 -0.168% +0.261% 📉
2026-07-29 7,316.15 -1.516% -1.255% 📉
2026-07-22 7,498.96 -0.136% -1.391% 📉
2026-07-15 7,572.40 +0.382% -1.009% 📈
2026-07-08 7,482.71 -0.282% -1.291% 📉
2026-07-01 7,483.23 -0.215% -1.506% 📉
2026-06-24 7,358.22 -0.098% -1.604% 📉
2026-06-17 7,420.10 -1.215% -2.819% 📉
2026-06-10 7,266.99 -1.620% -4.439% 📉
2026-06-03 7,553.68 -0.737% -5.176% 📉
2026-05-27 7,520.36 +0.016% -5.160% 📈
2026-05-20 7,432.97 +1.079% -4.081% 📈
2026-05-13 7,444.25 +0.585% -3.496% 📈
2026-05-06 7,365.12 +1.459% -2.037% 📈
2026-04-29 7,135.95 -0.040% -2.077% 📉
2026-04-22 7,137.90 +1.046% -1.031% 📈
2026-04-15 7,022.95 +0.798% -0.233% 📈
2026-04-08 6,782.81 +2.508% +2.275% 📈
2026-04-01 6,575.32 +0.717% +2.992% 📈
2026-03-25 6,591.90 +0.542% +3.534% 📈
2026-03-18 6,624.70 -1.361% +2.173% 📉
2026-03-11 6,775.80 -0.084% +2.089% 📉
2026-03-04 6,869.50 +0.776% +2.865% 📈
2026-02-25 6,946.13 +0.814% +3.679% 📈
2026-02-18 6,881.31 +0.557% +4.236% 📈
2026-02-11 6,941.47 -0.005% +4.231% 📉
2026-02-04 6,882.72 -0.507% +3.724% 📉
2026-01-28 6,978.03 -0.008% +3.716% 📉
2026-01-21 6,875.62 +1.159% +4.875% 📈
2026-01-14 6,926.60 -0.533% +4.342% 📉
2026-01-07 6,920.93 -0.344% +3.998% 📉
2025-12-31 6,845.50 -0.736% +3.262% 📉
2025-12-24 6,932.05 +0.322% +3.584% 📈
2025-12-17 6,721.43 -1.159% +2.425% 📉
2025-12-10 6,886.68 +0.675% +3.100% 📈
2025-12-03 6,849.72 +0.298% +3.398% 📈
2025-11-26 6,812.61 +0.691% +4.089% 📈
2025-11-19 6,642.16 +0.375% +4.464% 📈
2025-11-12 6,850.92 +0.063% +4.527% 📈
2025-11-05 6,796.29 +0.365% +4.892% 📈
2025-10-29 6,890.59 -0.004% +4.888% 📉
2025-10-22 6,699.40 -0.534% +4.354% 📉
2025-10-15 6,671.06 +0.403% +4.757% 📈
2025-10-08 6,753.72 +0.583% +5.340% 📈
2025-10-01 6,711.20 +0.340% +5.680% 📈
2025-09-24 6,637.97 -0.285% +5.395% 📉
2025-09-17 6,600.35 -0.097% +5.298% 📉
2025-09-10 6,532.04 +0.298% +5.596% 📈
2025-09-03 6,448.26 +0.510% +6.106% 📈
2025-08-27 6,481.40 +0.239% +6.345% 📈
2025-08-20 6,395.78 -0.243% +6.102% 📉
2025-08-13 6,466.58 +0.323% +6.425% 📈
2025-08-06 6,345.06 +0.728% +7.153% 📈
2025-07-30 6,362.90 -0.125% +7.028% 📉
2025-07-23 6,358.91 +0.781% +7.809% 📈
2025-07-16 6,263.70 +0.319% +8.128% 📈
2025-07-09 6,263.26 +0.606% +8.734% 📈
2025-07-02 6,227.42 +0.475% +9.209% 📈
2025-06-25 6,092.16 +0.000% +9.209% 📉
2025-06-18 5,980.87 -0.031% +9.178% 📉
2025-06-11 6,022.24 -0.274% +8.904% 📉
2025-06-04 5,970.81 +0.007% +8.911% 📈
2025-05-28 5,888.55 -0.557% +8.354% 📉
2025-05-21 5,844.61 -1.614% +6.740% 📉
2025-05-14 5,892.58 +0.102% +6.842% 📈
2025-05-07 5,631.28 +0.435% +7.277% 📈
2025-04-30 5,569.06 +0.148% +7.425% 📈
2025-04-23 5,375.86 +1.666% +9.091% 📈
2025-04-16 5,275.70 -2.241% +6.850% 📉
2025-04-09 5,456.90 +9.515% +16.365% 📈
2025-04-02 5,670.97 +0.673% +17.038% 📈
2025-03-26 5,712.20 -1.116% +15.922% 📉
2025-03-19 5,675.29 +1.080% +17.002% 📈
2025-03-12 5,599.30 +0.489% +17.491% 📈
2025-03-05 5,842.63 +1.116% +18.607% 📈
2025-02-26 5,956.06 +0.014% +18.621% 📈
2025-02-19 6,144.15 +0.238% +18.859% 📈
2025-02-12 6,051.97 -0.272% +18.587% 📉
2025-02-05 6,061.48 +0.391% +18.978% 📈
2025-01-29 6,039.31 -0.468% +18.510% 📉
2025-01-22 6,086.37 +0.614% +19.124% 📈
2025-01-15 5,949.91 +1.831% +20.955% 📈
2025-01-08 5,918.25 +0.156% +21.111% 📈
2024-12-18 5,872.16 -2.949% +18.162% 📉
2024-12-11 6,084.19 +0.817% +18.979% 📈
2024-12-04 6,086.49 +0.605% +19.584% 📈
2024-11-27 5,998.74 -0.380% +19.204% 📉
2024-11-20 5,917.11 +0.002% +19.206% 📈
2024-11-13 5,985.38 +0.023% +19.229% 📈
2024-11-06 5,929.04 +2.530% +21.759% 📈
2024-10-30 5,813.67 -0.330% +21.429% 📉
2024-10-23 5,797.42 -0.919% +20.510% 📉
2024-10-16 5,842.47 +0.468% +20.978% 📈
2024-10-09 5,792.04 +0.711% +21.689% 📈
2024-10-02 5,709.54 +0.014% +21.703% 📈
2024-09-25 5,722.26 -0.186% +21.517% 📉
2024-09-18 5,618.26 -0.290% +21.227% 📉
2024-09-11 5,554.13 +1.067% +22.294% 📈
2024-09-04 5,520.07 -0.160% +22.134% 📉
2024-08-28 5,592.18 -0.598% +21.536% 📉
2024-08-21 5,620.85 +0.424% +21.960% 📈
2024-08-14 5,455.21 +0.382% +22.342% 📈
2024-08-07 5,199.50 -0.773% +21.569% 📉
2024-07-31 5,522.30 +1.579% +23.148% 📈
2024-07-24 5,427.13 -2.315% +20.833% 📉
2024-07-17 5,588.27 -1.393% +19.440% 📉
2024-07-10 5,633.91 +1.021% +20.461% 📈
2024-07-03 5,537.02 +0.508% +20.969% 📈
2024-06-26 5,477.90 +0.157% +21.126% 📈
2024-06-12 5,421.03 +0.850% +21.976% 📈
2024-06-05 5,354.03 +1.185% +23.161% 📈
2024-05-29 5,266.95 -0.737% +22.424% 📉
2024-05-22 5,307.01 -0.271% +22.153% 📉
2024-05-15 5,308.15 +1.172% +23.325% 📈
2024-05-08 5,187.67 -0.001% +23.324% 📉
2024-05-01 5,018.39 -0.344% +22.980% 📉
2024-04-24 5,071.63 +0.021% +23.001% 📈
2024-04-17 5,022.21 -0.578% +22.423% 📉
2024-04-10 5,160.64 -0.946% +21.477% 📉
2024-04-03 5,211.49 +0.109% +21.586% 📈
2024-03-27 5,248.49 +0.863% +22.449% 📈
2024-03-20 5,224.62 +0.890% +23.339% 📈
2024-03-13 5,165.31 -0.192% +23.147% 📉
2024-03-06 5,104.76 +0.514% +23.661% 📈
2024-02-28 5,069.76 -0.166% +23.495% 📉
2024-02-21 4,981.80 +0.126% +23.621% 📈
2024-02-14 5,000.62 +0.958% +24.579% 📈
2024-02-07 4,995.06 +0.824% +25.403% 📈
2024-01-31 4,845.65 -1.611% +23.792% 📉
2024-01-24 4,868.55 +0.081% +23.873% 📈
2024-01-17 4,739.21 -0.562% +23.311% 📉
2024-01-10 4,783.45 +0.567% +23.878% 📈
2024-01-03 4,704.81 -0.802% +23.076% 📉
2023-12-27 4,781.58 +0.143% +23.219% 📈
2023-12-20 4,698.35 -1.468% +21.751% 📉
2023-12-13 4,707.09 +1.365% +23.116% 📈
2023-12-06 4,549.34 -0.391% +22.725% 📉
2023-11-29 4,550.58 -0.095% +22.630% 📉
2023-11-22 4,556.62 +0.406% +23.036% 📈
2023-11-15 4,502.88 +0.160% +23.196% 📈
2023-11-08 4,382.78 +0.100% +23.296% 📈
2023-11-01 4,237.86 +1.051% +24.347% 📈
2023-10-25 4,186.77 -1.434% +22.913% 📉
2023-10-18 4,314.60 -1.340% +21.573% 📉
2023-10-11 4,376.95 +0.429% +22.002% 📈
2023-10-04 4,263.75 +0.811% +22.813% 📈
2023-09-27 4,274.51 +0.023% +22.836% 📈
2023-09-20 4,402.20 -0.939% +21.897% 📉
2023-09-13 4,467.44 +0.124% +22.021% 📈
2023-09-06 4,465.48 -0.697% +21.324% 📉
2023-08-30 4,514.87 +0.383% +21.707% 📈
2023-08-23 4,436.01 +1.104% +22.811% 📈
2023-08-16 4,404.33 -0.756% +22.055% 📉
2023-08-09 4,467.71 -0.704% +21.351% 📉
2023-08-02 4,513.39 -1.384% +19.967% 📉
2023-07-26 4,566.75 -0.016% +19.951% 📉
2023-07-19 4,565.72 +0.236% +20.187% 📈
2023-07-12 4,472.16 +0.741% +20.928% 📈
2023-07-05 4,446.82 -0.197% +20.731% 📉
2023-06-28 4,376.86 -0.035% +20.696% 📉
2023-06-21 4,365.69 -0.525% +20.171% 📉
2023-06-14 4,372.59 +0.082% +20.253% 📈
2023-06-07 4,267.52 -0.381% +19.872% 📉
2023-05-31 4,179.83 -0.611% +19.261% 📉
2023-05-24 4,115.24 -0.732% +18.529% 📉
2023-05-17 4,158.77 +1.189% +19.718% 📈
2023-05-10 4,137.64 +0.448% +20.166% 📈
2023-05-03 4,090.75 -0.700% +19.466% 📉
2023-04-26 4,055.99 -0.384% +19.082% 📉
2023-04-19 4,154.52 -0.008% +19.074% 📉
2023-04-12 4,091.95 -0.413% +18.661% 📉
2023-04-05 4,090.38 -0.249% +18.412% 📉
2023-03-29 4,027.81 +1.424% +19.836% 📈
2023-03-22 3,936.97 -1.646% +18.190% 📉
2023-03-15 3,891.93 -0.698% +17.492% 📉
2023-03-08 3,992.01 +0.141% +17.633% 📈
2023-03-01 3,951.39 -0.473% +17.160% 📉
2023-02-22 3,991.05 -0.157% +17.003% 📉
2023-02-15 4,147.60 +0.277% +17.280% 📈
2023-02-08 4,117.86 -1.108% +16.172% 📉
2023-02-01 4,119.21 +1.045% +17.217% 📈
2023-01-25 4,016.22 -0.018% +17.199% 📉
2023-01-18 3,928.86 -1.556% +15.643% 📉
2023-01-11 3,969.61 +1.285% +16.928% 📈
2023-01-04 3,852.97 +0.754% +17.682% 📈
2022-12-28 3,783.22 -1.202% +16.480% 📉
2022-12-21 3,878.44 +1.487% +17.967% 📈
2022-12-14 3,995.32 -0.605% +17.362% 📉
2022-12-07 3,933.92 -0.186% +17.176% 📉
2022-11-30 4,080.11 +3.095% +20.271% 📈
2022-11-23 4,027.26 +0.591% +20.862% 📈
2022-11-16 3,958.79 -0.825% +20.037% 📉
2022-11-09 3,748.57 -2.078% +17.959% 📉
2022-11-02 3,759.69 -2.500% +15.459% 📉
2022-10-26 3,830.60 -0.739% +14.720% 📉
2022-10-19 3,695.16 -0.667% +14.053% 📉
2022-10-12 3,577.03 -0.329% +13.724% 📉
2022-10-05 3,783.28 -0.202% +13.522% 📉
2022-09-28 3,719.04 +1.967% +15.489% 📈
2022-09-21 3,789.93 -1.712% +13.777% 📉
2022-09-14 3,946.01 +0.339% +14.116% 📈
2022-09-07 3,979.87 +1.834% +15.950% 📈
2022-08-31 3,955.00 -0.782% +15.168% 📉
2022-08-24 4,140.77 +0.292% +15.460% 📈
2022-08-17 4,274.04 -0.724% +14.736% 📉
2022-08-10 4,210.24 +2.129% +16.865% 📈
2022-08-03 4,155.17 +1.564% +18.429% 📈
2022-07-27 4,023.61 +2.616% +21.045% 📈
2022-07-20 3,959.90 +0.590% +21.635% 📈
2022-07-13 3,801.78 -0.446% +21.189% 📉
2022-07-06 3,845.08 +0.357% +21.546% 📈
2022-06-29 3,818.83 -0.071% +21.475% 📉
2022-06-22 3,759.89 -0.130% +21.345% 📉
2022-06-15 3,789.99 +1.459% +22.804% 📈
2022-06-08 4,115.77 -1.079% +21.725% 📉
2022-06-01 4,101.23 -0.748% +20.977% 📉
2022-05-25 3,978.73 +0.945% +21.922% 📈
2022-05-18 3,923.68 -4.040% +17.882% 📉
2022-05-11 3,935.18 -1.646% +16.236% 📉
2022-05-04 4,300.17 +2.986% +19.222% 📈
2022-04-27 4,183.96 +0.210% +19.432% 📈
2022-04-20 4,459.45 -0.062% +19.370% 📉
2022-04-13 4,446.59 +1.117% +20.487% 📈
2022-04-06 4,481.15 -0.972% +19.515% 📉
2022-03-30 4,602.45 -0.629% +18.886% 📉
2022-03-23 4,456.24 -1.227% +17.659% 📉
2022-03-16 4,357.86 +2.238% +19.897% 📈
2022-03-09 4,277.88 +2.570% +22.467% 📈
2022-03-02 4,386.54 +1.864% +24.331% 📈
2022-02-23 4,225.50 -1.841% +22.490% 📉
2022-02-16 4,475.01 +0.088% +22.578% 📈
2022-02-09 4,587.18 +1.452% +24.030% 📈
2022-02-02 4,589.38 +0.942% +24.972% 📈
2022-01-26 4,349.93 -0.150% +24.822% 📉
2022-01-19 4,532.76 -0.969% +23.853% 📉
2022-01-12 4,726.35 +0.282% +24.135% 📈
2022-01-05 4,700.58 -1.939% +22.196% 📉
2021-12-29 4,793.06 +0.140% +22.336% 📈
2021-12-22 4,696.56 +1.018% +23.354% 📈
2021-12-15 4,709.85 +1.635% +24.989% 📈
2021-12-08 4,701.21 +0.309% +25.298% 📈
2021-12-01 4,513.04 -1.182% +24.116% 📉
2021-11-24 4,701.46 +0.229% +24.345% 📈
2021-11-17 4,688.67 -0.260% +24.085% 📉
2021-11-10 4,646.71 -0.823% +23.262% 📉
2021-11-03 4,660.57 +0.646% +23.908% 📈
2021-10-27 4,551.68 -0.505% +23.403% 📉
2021-10-20 4,536.19 +0.366% +23.769% 📈
2021-10-13 4,363.80 +0.302% +24.071% 📈
2021-10-06 4,363.55 +0.410% +24.481% 📈
2021-09-29 4,359.46 +0.157% +24.638% 📈
2021-09-22 4,395.64 +0.952% +25.590% 📈