📈 S&P500の木曜日「上がりやすさ」分析

検証仮説:「週明け(月曜)は上昇しやすく、週末(金曜)は下落しやすい」 — S&P500の曜日別騰落率を分析

TOP】【指数・為替・商品一覧】【関連銘柄


国内株価
市場指標
S&P500 : 2021-09-15 〜 2026-09-15(基準日: 2026-09-15)| サンプル総数: 1228 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
59.8%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
140/234日
火曜
 
上昇確率
59.8%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
140/234日
水曜
 
上昇確率
53.7%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
138/257日
木曜
 
上昇確率
49.8%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
125/251日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
53.2%
平均騰落率
+0.04%
上昇日数
134/252日
曜日 サンプル 上昇確率 下落確率 もみ合 平均騰落 平均上昇 平均下落 最大上昇 最大下落 上昇-下落
月曜週明け 234日 59.8% 40.2% 0.0% +0.10% +0.64% -0.71% +3.26% -3.88% +19.7%
火曜 234日 59.8% 40.2% 0.0% +0.10% +0.64% -0.71% +3.26% -3.88% +19.7%
水曜 257日 53.7% 45.5% 0.8% +0.10% +0.81% -0.74% +9.52% -4.04% +8.2%
木曜 251日 49.8% 49.8% 0.4% -0.01% +0.83% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.0%
金曜週末 252日 53.2% 46.8% 0.0% +0.04% +0.82% -0.85% +3.06% -5.97% +6.3%
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1 月曜 59.8% (平均+0.10%)
2 火曜 59.8% (平均+0.10%)
3 水曜 53.7% (平均+0.10%)
4 金曜 53.2% (平均+0.04%)
5 木曜 49.8% (平均-0.01%)
📊 検証結果サマリー

月曜(週明け):上昇確率 59.8%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい

金曜(週末):上昇確率 53.2%(4位) → 上昇しやすい傾向あり

月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +6.7% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を支持

📉 木曜日の騰落率推移チャート

各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。

木曜日 の騰落率推移 | データ数: 251件 | 平均: -0.010% | 最新: -0.585%
📋 木曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
日付 終値 騰落率 累積騰落率 判定
2026-09-10 7,591.70 -0.585% -0.585% 📉
2026-09-03 7,747.71 +1.058% +0.473% 📈
2026-08-27 7,730.99 +0.720% +1.193% 📈
2026-08-20 7,641.16 -0.867% +0.326% 📉
2026-08-13 7,798.99 +0.652% +0.978% 📈
2026-08-06 7,709.96 -0.176% +0.802% 📉
2026-07-30 7,437.63 +1.660% +2.462% 📈
2026-07-23 7,408.30 -1.209% +1.253% 📉
2026-07-16 7,533.77 -0.510% +0.743% 📉
2026-07-09 7,543.64 +0.814% +1.557% 📈
2026-07-02 7,483.24 +0.000% +1.557% 📉
2026-06-25 7,357.49 -0.010% +1.547% 📉
2026-06-18 7,500.58 +1.085% +2.632% 📈
2026-06-11 7,394.30 +1.752% +4.384% 📈
2026-06-04 7,584.31 +0.405% +4.789% 📈
2026-05-28 7,563.63 +0.575% +5.364% 📈
2026-05-21 7,445.72 +0.172% +5.536% 📈
2026-05-14 7,501.24 +0.766% +6.302% 📈
2026-05-07 7,337.11 -0.380% +5.922% 📉
2026-04-30 7,209.01 +1.024% +6.946% 📈
2026-04-23 7,108.40 -0.413% +6.533% 📉
2026-04-16 7,041.28 +0.261% +6.794% 📈
2026-04-09 6,824.66 +0.617% +7.411% 📈
2026-04-02 6,582.69 +0.112% +7.523% 📈
2026-03-26 6,477.16 -1.741% +5.782% 📉
2026-03-19 6,606.49 -0.275% +5.507% 📉
2026-03-12 6,672.62 -1.523% +3.984% 📉
2026-03-05 6,830.71 -0.565% +3.419% 📉
2026-02-26 6,908.86 -0.537% +2.882% 📉
2026-02-19 6,861.89 -0.282% +2.600% 📉
2026-02-12 6,832.76 -1.566% +1.034% 📉
2026-02-05 6,798.40 -1.225% -0.191% 📉
2026-01-29 6,969.01 -0.129% -0.320% 📉
2026-01-22 6,913.35 +0.549% +0.229% 📈
2026-01-15 6,944.47 +0.258% +0.487% 📈
2026-01-08 6,921.46 +0.008% +0.495% 📈
2025-12-18 6,774.76 +0.793% +1.288% 📈
2025-12-11 6,901.00 +0.208% +1.496% 📈
2025-12-04 6,857.12 +0.108% +1.604% 📈
2025-11-20 6,538.76 -1.557% +0.047% 📉
2025-11-13 6,737.49 -1.656% -1.609% 📉
2025-11-06 6,720.32 -1.118% -2.727% 📉
2025-10-30 6,822.34 -0.990% -3.717% 📉
2025-10-23 6,738.44 +0.583% -3.134% 📈
2025-10-16 6,629.07 -0.629% -3.763% 📉
2025-10-09 6,735.11 -0.276% -4.039% 📉
2025-10-02 6,715.35 +0.062% -3.977% 📈
2025-09-25 6,604.72 -0.501% -4.478% 📉
2025-09-18 6,631.96 +0.479% -3.999% 📈
2025-09-11 6,587.47 +0.849% -3.150% 📈
2025-09-04 6,502.08 +0.835% -2.315% 📈
2025-08-28 6,501.86 +0.316% -1.999% 📈
2025-08-21 6,370.17 -0.400% -2.399% 📉
2025-08-14 6,468.54 +0.030% -2.369% 📈
2025-08-07 6,340.00 -0.080% -2.449% 📉
2025-07-31 6,339.39 -0.369% -2.818% 📉
2025-07-24 6,363.35 +0.070% -2.748% 📈
2025-07-17 6,297.36 +0.537% -2.211% 📈
2025-07-10 6,280.46 +0.275% -1.936% 📈
2025-07-03 6,279.35 +0.834% -1.102% 📈
2025-06-26 6,141.02 +0.802% -0.300% 📈
2025-06-12 6,045.26 +0.382% +0.082% 📈
2025-06-05 5,939.30 -0.528% -0.446% 📉
2025-05-29 5,912.17 +0.401% -0.045% 📈
2025-05-22 5,842.01 -0.044% -0.089% 📉
2025-05-15 5,916.93 +0.413% +0.324% 📈
2025-05-08 5,663.94 +0.580% +0.904% 📈
2025-05-01 5,604.14 +0.630% +1.534% 📈
2025-04-24 5,484.77 +2.026% +3.560% 📈
2025-04-17 5,282.70 +0.133% +3.693% 📈
2025-04-10 5,268.05 -3.461% +0.232% 📉
2025-04-03 5,396.52 -4.840% -4.608% 📉
2025-03-27 5,693.31 -0.331% -4.939% 📉
2025-03-20 5,662.89 -0.218% -5.157% 📉
2025-03-13 5,521.52 -1.389% -6.546% 📉
2025-03-06 5,738.52 -1.782% -8.328% 📉
2025-02-27 5,861.57 -1.586% -9.914% 📉
2025-02-20 6,117.52 -0.433% -10.347% 📉
2025-02-13 6,115.07 +1.043% -9.304% 📈
2025-02-06 6,083.57 +0.364% -8.940% 📈
2025-01-30 6,071.17 +0.528% -8.412% 📈
2025-01-23 6,118.71 +0.531% -7.881% 📈
2025-01-16 5,937.34 -0.211% -8.092% 📉
2025-01-02 5,868.55 -0.222% -8.314% 📉
2024-12-26 6,037.59 -0.041% -8.355% 📉
2024-12-19 5,867.08 -0.087% -8.442% 📉
2024-12-12 6,051.25 -0.541% -8.983% 📉
2024-12-05 6,075.11 -0.187% -9.170% 📉
2024-11-21 5,948.71 +0.534% -8.636% 📈
2024-11-14 5,949.17 -0.605% -9.241% 📉
2024-11-07 5,973.10 +0.743% -8.498% 📈
2024-10-31 5,705.45 -1.861% -10.359% 📉
2024-10-24 5,809.86 +0.215% -10.144% 📈
2024-10-17 5,841.47 -0.017% -10.161% 📉
2024-10-10 5,780.05 -0.207% -10.368% 📉
2024-10-03 5,699.94 -0.168% -10.536% 📉
2024-09-26 5,745.37 +0.404% -10.132% 📈
2024-09-19 5,713.64 +1.698% -8.434% 📈
2024-09-12 5,595.76 +0.750% -7.684% 📈
2024-09-05 5,503.41 -0.302% -7.986% 📉
2024-08-29 5,591.96 -0.004% -7.990% 📉
2024-08-22 5,570.64 -0.893% -8.883% 📉
2024-08-15 5,543.22 +1.613% -7.270% 📈
2024-08-08 5,319.31 +2.304% -4.966% 📈
2024-08-01 5,446.68 -1.369% -6.335% 📉
2024-07-25 5,399.22 -0.514% -6.849% 📉
2024-07-18 5,544.59 -0.782% -7.631% 📉
2024-07-11 5,584.54 -0.876% -8.507% 📉
2024-06-27 5,482.87 +0.091% -8.416% 📈
2024-06-20 5,473.17 -0.253% -8.669% 📉
2024-06-13 5,433.74 +0.234% -8.435% 📈
2024-06-06 5,352.96 -0.020% -8.455% 📉
2024-05-30 5,235.48 -0.597% -9.052% 📉
2024-05-23 5,267.84 -0.738% -9.790% 📉
2024-05-16 5,297.10 -0.208% -9.998% 📉
2024-05-09 5,214.08 +0.509% -9.489% 📈
2024-05-02 5,064.20 +0.913% -8.576% 📈
2024-04-25 5,048.42 -0.458% -9.034% 📉
2024-04-18 5,011.12 -0.221% -9.255% 📉
2024-04-11 5,199.06 +0.744% -8.511% 📈
2024-04-04 5,147.21 -1.233% -9.744% 📉
2024-03-28 5,254.35 +0.112% -9.632% 📈
2024-03-21 5,241.53 +0.324% -9.308% 📈
2024-03-14 5,150.48 -0.287% -9.595% 📉
2024-03-07 5,157.36 +1.030% -8.565% 📈
2024-02-29 5,096.27 +0.523% -8.042% 📈
2024-02-22 5,087.03 +2.112% -5.930% 📈
2024-02-15 5,029.73 +0.582% -5.348% 📈
2024-02-08 4,997.91 +0.057% -5.291% 📈
2024-02-01 4,906.19 +1.249% -4.042% 📈
2024-01-25 4,894.16 +0.526% -3.516% 📈
2024-01-18 4,780.94 +0.881% -2.635% 📈
2024-01-11 4,780.24 -0.067% -2.702% 📉
2024-01-04 4,688.68 -0.343% -3.045% 📉
2023-12-28 4,783.35 +0.037% -3.008% 📈
2023-12-21 4,746.75 +1.030% -1.978% 📈
2023-12-14 4,719.55 +0.265% -1.713% 📈
2023-12-07 4,585.59 +0.797% -0.916% 📈
2023-11-30 4,567.80 +0.378% -0.538% 📈
2023-11-16 4,508.24 +0.119% -0.419% 📈
2023-11-09 4,347.35 -0.808% -1.227% 📉
2023-11-02 4,317.78 +1.886% +0.659% 📈
2023-10-26 4,137.23 -1.183% -0.524% 📉
2023-10-19 4,278.00 -0.848% -1.372% 📉
2023-10-12 4,349.61 -0.625% -1.997% 📉
2023-10-05 4,258.19 -0.130% -2.127% 📉
2023-09-28 4,299.70 +0.589% -1.538% 📈
2023-09-21 4,330.00 -1.640% -3.178% 📉
2023-09-14 4,505.10 +0.843% -2.335% 📈
2023-09-07 4,451.14 -0.321% -2.656% 📉
2023-08-31 4,507.66 -0.160% -2.816% 📉
2023-08-24 4,376.31 -1.346% -4.162% 📉
2023-08-17 4,370.36 -0.771% -4.933% 📉
2023-08-10 4,468.83 +0.025% -4.908% 📈
2023-08-03 4,501.89 -0.255% -5.163% 📉
2023-07-27 4,537.41 -0.642% -5.805% 📉
2023-07-20 4,534.87 -0.676% -6.481% 📉
2023-07-13 4,510.04 +0.847% -5.634% 📈
2023-07-06 4,411.59 -0.792% -6.426% 📉
2023-06-29 4,396.44 +0.447% -5.979% 📈
2023-06-22 4,381.89 +0.371% -5.608% 📈
2023-06-15 4,425.84 +1.218% -4.390% 📈
2023-06-08 4,293.93 +0.619% -3.771% 📈
2023-06-01 4,221.02 +0.985% -2.786% 📈
2023-05-25 4,151.28 +0.876% -1.910% 📈
2023-05-18 4,198.05 +0.945% -0.965% 📈
2023-05-11 4,130.62 -0.170% -1.135% 📉
2023-05-04 4,061.22 -0.722% -1.857% 📉
2023-04-27 4,135.35 +1.957% +0.100% 📈
2023-04-20 4,129.79 -0.595% -0.495% 📉
2023-04-13 4,146.22 +1.326% +0.831% 📈
2023-04-06 4,105.02 +0.358% +1.189% 📈
2023-03-30 4,050.83 +0.572% +1.761% 📈
2023-03-23 3,948.72 +0.298% +2.059% 📈
2023-03-16 3,960.28 +1.756% +3.815% 📈
2023-03-09 3,918.32 -1.846% +1.969% 📉
2023-03-02 3,981.35 +0.758% +2.727% 📈
2023-02-23 4,012.32 +0.533% +3.260% 📈
2023-02-16 4,090.41 -1.379% +1.881% 📉
2023-02-09 4,081.50 -0.883% +0.998% 📉
2023-02-02 4,179.76 +1.470% +2.468% 📈
2023-01-26 4,060.43 +1.101% +3.569% 📈
2023-01-19 3,898.85 -0.764% +2.805% 📉
2023-01-12 3,983.17 +0.342% +3.147% 📈
2023-01-05 3,808.10 -1.165% +1.982% 📉
2022-12-29 3,849.28 +1.746% +3.728% 📈
2022-12-22 3,822.39 -1.445% +2.283% 📉
2022-12-15 3,895.75 -2.492% -0.209% 📉
2022-12-08 3,963.51 +0.752% +0.543% 📈
2022-12-01 4,076.57 -0.087% +0.456% 📉
2022-11-17 3,946.56 -0.309% +0.147% 📉
2022-11-10 3,956.37 +5.543% +5.690% 📈
2022-11-03 3,719.89 -1.059% +4.631% 📉
2022-10-27 3,807.30 -0.608% +4.023% 📉
2022-10-20 3,665.78 -0.795% +3.228% 📉
2022-10-13 3,669.91 +2.597% +5.825% 📈
2022-10-06 3,744.52 -1.025% +4.800% 📉
2022-09-29 3,640.47 -2.113% +2.687% 📉
2022-09-22 3,757.99 -0.843% +1.844% 📉
2022-09-15 3,901.35 -1.132% +0.712% 📉
2022-09-08 4,006.18 +0.661% +1.373% 📈
2022-09-01 3,966.85 +0.300% +1.673% 📈
2022-08-25 4,199.12 +1.409% +3.082% 📈
2022-08-18 4,283.74 +0.227% +3.309% 📈
2022-08-11 4,207.27 -0.071% +3.238% 📉
2022-08-04 4,151.94 -0.078% +3.160% 📉
2022-07-28 4,072.43 +1.213% +4.373% 📈
2022-07-21 3,998.95 +0.986% +5.359% 📈
2022-07-14 3,790.38 -0.300% +5.059% 📉
2022-07-07 3,902.62 +1.496% +6.555% 📈
2022-06-30 3,785.38 -0.876% +5.679% 📉
2022-06-23 3,795.73 +0.953% +6.632% 📈
2022-06-16 3,666.77 -3.251% +3.381% 📉
2022-06-09 4,017.82 -2.380% +1.001% 📉
2022-06-02 4,176.82 +1.843% +2.844% 📈
2022-05-26 4,057.84 +1.988% +4.832% 📈
2022-05-19 3,900.79 -0.583% +4.249% 📉
2022-05-12 3,930.08 -0.130% +4.119% 📉
2022-05-05 4,146.87 -3.565% +0.554% 📉
2022-04-28 4,287.50 +2.475% +3.029% 📈
2022-04-21 4,393.66 -1.475% +1.554% 📉
2022-04-14 4,392.59 -1.214% +0.340% 📉
2022-04-07 4,500.21 +0.425% +0.765% 📈
2022-03-31 4,530.41 -1.565% -0.800% 📉
2022-03-24 4,520.16 +1.434% +0.634% 📈
2022-03-17 4,411.67 +1.235% +1.869% 📈
2022-03-10 4,259.52 -0.429% +1.440% 📉
2022-03-03 4,363.49 -0.525% +0.915% 📉
2022-02-24 4,288.70 +1.496% +2.411% 📈
2022-02-17 4,380.26 -2.117% +0.294% 📉
2022-02-10 4,504.08 -1.812% -1.518% 📉
2022-02-03 4,477.44 -2.439% -3.957% 📉
2022-01-27 4,326.51 -0.538% -4.495% 📉
2022-01-20 4,482.73 -1.104% -5.599% 📉
2022-01-13 4,659.03 -1.424% -7.023% 📉
2022-01-06 4,696.05 -0.096% -7.119% 📉
2021-12-30 4,778.73 -0.299% -7.418% 📉
2021-12-23 4,725.79 +0.622% -6.796% 📈
2021-12-16 4,668.67 -0.874% -7.670% 📉
2021-12-09 4,667.45 -0.718% -8.388% 📉
2021-12-02 4,577.10 +1.419% -6.969% 📈
2021-11-18 4,704.54 +0.338% -6.631% 📈
2021-11-11 4,649.27 +0.055% -6.576% 📈
2021-11-04 4,680.06 +0.418% -6.158% 📈
2021-10-28 4,596.42 +0.983% -5.175% 📈
2021-10-21 4,549.78 +0.300% -4.875% 📈
2021-10-14 4,438.26 +1.706% -3.169% 📈
2021-10-07 4,399.76 +0.830% -2.339% 📈
2021-09-30 4,307.54 -1.191% -3.530% 📉
2021-09-23 4,448.98 +1.213% -2.317% 📈
2021-09-16 4,473.75 -0.155% -2.472% 📉