📈 S&P500の金曜日「上がりやすさ」分析

検証仮説:「週明け(月曜)は上昇しやすく、週末(金曜)は下落しやすい」 — S&P500の曜日別騰落率を分析

TOP】【指数・為替・商品一覧】【関連銘柄


国内株価
市場指標
S&P500 : 2021-07-31 〜 2026-07-31(基準日: 2026-07-31)| サンプル総数: 1253 営業日
月曜
週明け
上昇確率
61.4%
平均騰落率
+0.11%
上昇日数
143/233日
火曜
 
上昇確率
50.0%
平均騰落率
+0.02%
上昇日数
130/260日
水曜
 
上昇確率
53.9%
平均騰落率
+0.10%
上昇日数
139/258日
木曜
 
上昇確率
50.2%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
126/251日
金曜
週末
上昇確率
50.2%
平均騰落率
-0.01%
上昇日数
126/251日
曜日 サンプル 上昇確率 下落確率 もみ合 平均騰落 平均上昇 平均下落 最大上昇 最大下落 上昇-下落
月曜週明け 233日 61.4% 38.6% 0.0% +0.11% +0.63% -0.72% +3.26% -3.88% +22.7%
火曜 260日 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% +0.02% +0.73% -0.69% +3.06% -4.32% +0.0%
水曜 258日 53.9% 45.3% 0.8% +0.10% +0.81% -0.74% +9.52% -4.04% +8.5%
木曜 251日 50.2% 49.4% 0.4% -0.01% +0.82% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.8%
金曜週末 251日 50.2% 49.4% 0.4% -0.01% +0.82% -0.85% +5.54% -4.84% +0.8%
🏆 「上がりやすさ」ランキング(上昇確率順)
1 月曜 61.4% (平均+0.11%)
2 水曜 53.9% (平均+0.10%)
3 木曜 50.2% (平均-0.01%)
4 金曜 50.2% (平均-0.01%)
5 火曜 50.0% (平均+0.02%)
📊 検証結果サマリー

月曜(週明け):上昇確率 61.4%(1位) → 強く上昇しやすい

金曜(週末):上昇確率 50.2%(4位) → 上昇しやすい傾向あり

月曜 vs 金曜:上昇確率差 +11.2% → 「週明け上昇・週末下落」仮説を強く支持

📉 金曜日の騰落率推移チャート

各曜日を選択すると、その曜日の騰落率(前営業日比)を時系列で確認できます。赤線は平均騰落率です。

金曜日 の騰落率推移 | データ数: 252件 | 平均: +0.036% | 最新: +0.700%
📋 金曜日の騰落率データ一覧(最新順)
日付 終値 騰落率 累積騰落率 判定
2026-07-31 7,489.72 +0.700% +0.700% 📈
2026-07-24 7,411.98 +0.050% +0.750% 📈
2026-07-17 7,457.69 -1.010% -0.260% 📉
2026-07-10 7,575.39 +0.421% +0.161% 📈
2026-06-26 7,354.02 -0.047% +0.114% 📉
2026-06-12 7,431.46 +0.503% +0.617% 📈
2026-06-05 7,383.74 -2.645% -2.028% 📉
2026-05-29 7,580.06 +0.217% -1.811% 📈
2026-05-22 7,473.47 +0.373% -1.438% 📈
2026-05-15 7,408.50 -1.236% -2.674% 📉
2026-05-08 7,398.93 +0.843% -1.831% 📈
2026-05-01 7,230.12 +0.293% -1.538% 📈
2026-04-24 7,165.08 +0.797% -0.741% 📈
2026-04-17 7,126.06 +1.204% +0.463% 📈
2026-04-10 6,816.89 -0.114% +0.349% 📉
2026-03-27 6,368.85 -1.672% -1.323% 📉
2026-03-20 6,506.48 -1.514% -2.837% 📉
2026-03-13 6,632.19 -0.606% -3.443% 📉
2026-03-06 6,740.02 -1.328% -4.771% 📉
2026-02-27 6,878.88 -0.434% -5.205% 📉
2026-02-20 6,909.51 +0.694% -4.511% 📈
2026-02-13 6,836.17 +0.050% -4.461% 📈
2026-02-06 6,932.30 +1.970% -2.491% 📈
2026-01-30 6,939.03 -0.430% -2.921% 📉
2026-01-23 6,915.61 +0.033% -2.888% 📈
2026-01-16 6,940.01 -0.064% -2.952% 📉
2026-01-09 6,966.28 +0.648% -2.304% 📈
2026-01-02 6,858.47 +0.189% -2.115% 📈
2025-12-26 6,929.94 -0.030% -2.145% 📉
2025-12-19 6,834.50 +0.882% -1.263% 📈
2025-12-12 6,827.41 -1.066% -2.329% 📉
2025-12-05 6,870.40 +0.194% -2.135% 📈
2025-11-28 6,849.09 +0.535% -1.600% 📈
2025-11-21 6,602.99 +0.982% -0.618% 📈
2025-11-14 6,734.11 -0.050% -0.668% 📉
2025-11-07 6,728.80 +0.126% -0.542% 📈
2025-10-31 6,840.20 +0.262% -0.280% 📈
2025-10-24 6,791.69 +0.790% +0.510% 📈
2025-10-17 6,664.01 +0.527% +1.037% 📈
2025-10-10 6,552.51 -2.711% -1.674% 📉
2025-10-03 6,715.79 +0.007% -1.667% 📈
2025-09-26 6,643.70 +0.590% -1.077% 📈
2025-09-19 6,664.36 +0.489% -0.588% 📈
2025-09-12 6,584.29 -0.048% -0.636% 📉
2025-09-05 6,481.50 -0.317% -0.953% 📉
2025-08-29 6,460.26 -0.640% -1.593% 📉
2025-08-22 6,466.91 +1.519% -0.074% 📈
2025-08-15 6,449.80 -0.290% -0.364% 📉
2025-08-08 6,389.45 +0.780% +0.416% 📈
2025-08-01 6,238.01 -1.599% -1.183% 📉
2025-07-25 6,388.64 +0.397% -0.786% 📈
2025-07-18 6,296.79 -0.009% -0.795% 📉
2025-07-11 6,259.75 -0.330% -1.125% 📉
2025-06-27 6,173.07 +0.522% -0.603% 📈
2025-06-20 5,967.84 -0.218% -0.821% 📉
2025-06-13 5,976.97 -1.130% -1.951% 📉
2025-06-06 6,000.36 +1.028% -0.923% 📈
2025-05-30 5,911.69 -0.008% -0.931% 📉
2025-05-23 5,802.82 -0.671% -1.602% 📉
2025-05-16 5,958.38 +0.701% -0.901% 📈
2025-05-09 5,659.91 -0.071% -0.972% 📉
2025-05-02 5,686.67 +1.473% +0.501% 📈
2025-04-25 5,525.21 +0.737% +1.238% 📈
2025-04-11 5,363.36 +1.809% +3.047% 📈
2025-04-04 5,074.08 -5.975% -2.928% 📉
2025-03-28 5,580.94 -1.974% -4.902% 📉
2025-03-21 5,667.56 +0.082% -4.820% 📈
2025-03-14 5,638.94 +2.127% -2.693% 📈
2025-03-07 5,770.20 +0.552% -2.141% 📈
2025-02-28 5,954.50 +1.585% -0.556% 📈
2025-02-21 6,013.13 -1.706% -2.262% 📉
2025-02-14 6,114.63 -0.007% -2.269% 📉
2025-02-07 6,025.99 -0.946% -3.215% 📉
2025-01-31 6,040.53 -0.505% -3.720% 📉
2025-01-24 6,101.24 -0.286% -4.006% 📉
2025-01-17 5,996.66 +0.999% -3.007% 📈
2025-01-10 5,827.04 -1.541% -4.548% 📉
2025-01-03 5,942.47 +1.260% -3.288% 📈
2024-12-27 5,970.84 -1.106% -4.394% 📉
2024-12-20 5,930.85 +1.087% -3.307% 📈
2024-12-13 6,051.09 -0.003% -3.310% 📉
2024-12-06 6,090.27 +0.250% -3.060% 📈
2024-11-29 6,032.38 +0.561% -2.499% 📈
2024-11-22 5,969.34 +0.347% -2.152% 📈
2024-11-15 5,870.62 -1.320% -3.472% 📉
2024-11-08 5,995.54 +0.376% -3.096% 📈
2024-11-01 5,728.80 +0.409% -2.687% 📈
2024-10-25 5,808.12 -0.030% -2.717% 📉
2024-10-18 5,864.67 +0.397% -2.320% 📈
2024-10-11 5,815.03 +0.605% -1.715% 📈
2024-10-04 5,751.07 +0.897% -0.818% 📈
2024-09-27 5,738.17 -0.125% -0.943% 📉
2024-09-20 5,702.55 -0.194% -1.137% 📉
2024-09-13 5,626.02 +0.541% -0.596% 📈
2024-09-06 5,408.42 -1.726% -2.322% 📉
2024-08-30 5,648.40 +1.009% -1.313% 📈
2024-08-23 5,634.61 +1.148% -0.165% 📈
2024-08-16 5,554.25 +0.199% +0.034% 📈
2024-08-09 5,344.16 +0.467% +0.501% 📈
2024-08-02 5,346.56 -1.838% -1.337% 📉
2024-07-26 5,459.10 +1.109% -0.228% 📈
2024-07-19 5,505.00 -0.714% -0.942% 📉
2024-07-12 5,615.35 +0.552% -0.390% 📈
2024-07-05 5,567.19 +0.545% +0.155% 📈
2024-06-28 5,460.48 -0.408% -0.253% 📉
2024-06-21 5,464.62 -0.156% -0.409% 📉
2024-06-14 5,431.60 -0.039% -0.448% 📉
2024-06-07 5,346.99 -0.112% -0.560% 📉
2024-05-31 5,277.51 +0.803% +0.243% 📈
2024-05-24 5,304.72 +0.700% +0.943% 📈
2024-05-17 5,303.27 +0.116% +1.059% 📈
2024-05-10 5,222.68 +0.165% +1.224% 📈
2024-05-03 5,127.79 +1.256% +2.480% 📈
2024-04-26 5,099.96 +1.021% +3.501% 📈
2024-04-19 4,967.23 -0.876% +2.625% 📉
2024-04-12 5,123.41 -1.455% +1.170% 📉
2024-04-05 5,204.34 +1.110% +2.280% 📈
2024-03-22 5,234.18 -0.140% +2.140% 📉
2024-03-15 5,117.09 -0.648% +1.492% 📉
2024-03-08 5,123.69 -0.653% +0.839% 📉
2024-03-01 5,137.08 +0.801% +1.640% 📈
2024-02-23 5,088.80 +0.035% +1.675% 📈
2024-02-16 5,005.57 -0.480% +1.195% 📉
2024-02-09 5,026.61 +0.574% +1.769% 📈
2024-02-02 4,958.61 +1.068% +2.837% 📈
2024-01-26 4,890.97 -0.065% +2.772% 📉
2024-01-19 4,839.81 +1.231% +4.003% 📈
2024-01-12 4,783.83 +0.075% +4.078% 📈
2024-01-05 4,697.24 +0.183% +4.261% 📈
2023-12-29 4,769.83 -0.283% +3.978% 📉
2023-12-22 4,754.63 +0.166% +4.144% 📈
2023-12-15 4,719.19 -0.008% +4.136% 📉
2023-12-08 4,604.37 +0.410% +4.546% 📈
2023-12-01 4,594.63 +0.587% +5.133% 📈
2023-11-24 4,559.34 +0.060% +5.193% 📈
2023-11-17 4,514.02 +0.128% +5.321% 📈
2023-11-10 4,415.24 +1.562% +6.883% 📈
2023-11-03 4,358.34 +0.939% +7.822% 📈
2023-10-27 4,117.37 -0.480% +7.342% 📉
2023-10-20 4,224.16 -1.259% +6.083% 📉
2023-10-13 4,327.78 -0.502% +5.581% 📉
2023-10-06 4,308.50 +1.181% +6.762% 📈
2023-09-29 4,288.05 -0.271% +6.491% 📉
2023-09-22 4,320.06 -0.230% +6.261% 📉
2023-09-15 4,450.32 -1.216% +5.045% 📉
2023-09-08 4,457.49 +0.143% +5.188% 📈
2023-09-01 4,515.77 +0.180% +5.368% 📈
2023-08-25 4,405.71 +0.672% +6.040% 📈
2023-08-18 4,369.71 -0.015% +6.025% 📉
2023-08-11 4,464.05 -0.107% +5.918% 📉
2023-08-04 4,478.03 -0.530% +5.388% 📉
2023-07-28 4,582.23 +0.988% +6.376% 📈
2023-07-21 4,536.34 +0.032% +6.408% 📈
2023-07-14 4,505.42 -0.102% +6.306% 📉
2023-07-07 4,398.95 -0.287% +6.019% 📉
2023-06-30 4,450.38 +1.227% +7.246% 📈
2023-06-23 4,348.33 -0.766% +6.480% 📉
2023-06-16 4,409.59 -0.367% +6.113% 📉
2023-06-09 4,298.86 +0.115% +6.228% 📈
2023-06-02 4,282.37 +1.453% +7.681% 📈
2023-05-26 4,205.45 +1.305% +8.986% 📈
2023-05-19 4,191.98 -0.145% +8.841% 📉
2023-05-12 4,124.08 -0.158% +8.683% 📉
2023-05-05 4,136.25 +1.847% +10.530% 📈
2023-04-28 4,169.48 +0.825% +11.355% 📈
2023-04-21 4,133.52 +0.090% +11.445% 📈
2023-04-14 4,137.64 -0.207% +11.238% 📉
2023-03-31 4,109.31 +1.444% +12.682% 📈
2023-03-24 3,970.99 +0.564% +13.246% 📈
2023-03-17 3,916.64 -1.102% +12.144% 📉
2023-03-10 3,861.59 -1.448% +10.696% 📉
2023-03-03 4,045.64 +1.615% +12.311% 📈
2023-02-24 3,970.04 -1.054% +11.257% 📉
2023-02-17 4,079.09 -0.277% +10.980% 📉
2023-02-10 4,090.46 +0.220% +11.200% 📈
2023-02-03 4,136.48 -1.035% +10.165% 📉
2023-01-27 4,070.56 +0.249% +10.414% 📈
2023-01-20 3,972.61 +1.892% +12.306% 📈
2023-01-13 3,999.09 +0.400% +12.706% 📈
2023-01-06 3,895.08 +2.284% +14.990% 📈
2022-12-30 3,839.50 -0.254% +14.736% 📉
2022-12-23 3,844.82 +0.587% +15.323% 📈
2022-12-16 3,852.36 -1.114% +14.209% 📉
2022-12-09 3,934.38 -0.735% +13.474% 📉
2022-12-02 4,071.70 -0.119% +13.355% 📉
2022-11-25 4,026.12 -0.028% +13.327% 📉
2022-11-18 3,965.34 +0.476% +13.803% 📈
2022-11-11 3,992.93 +0.924% +14.727% 📈
2022-11-04 3,770.55 +1.362% +16.089% 📈
2022-10-28 3,901.06 +2.463% +18.552% 📈
2022-10-21 3,752.75 +2.372% +20.924% 📈
2022-10-14 3,583.07 -2.366% +18.558% 📉
2022-10-07 3,639.66 -2.800% +15.758% 📉
2022-09-30 3,585.62 -1.507% +14.251% 📉
2022-09-23 3,693.23 -1.723% +12.528% 📉
2022-09-16 3,873.33 -0.718% +11.810% 📉
2022-09-09 4,067.36 +1.527% +13.337% 📈
2022-09-02 3,924.26 -1.074% +12.263% 📉
2022-08-26 4,057.66 -3.369% +8.894% 📉
2022-08-19 4,228.48 -1.290% +7.604% 📉
2022-08-12 4,280.15 +1.732% +9.336% 📈
2022-08-05 4,145.19 -0.163% +9.173% 📉
2022-07-29 4,130.29 +1.421% +10.594% 📈
2022-07-22 3,961.63 -0.933% +9.661% 📉
2022-07-15 3,863.16 +1.920% +11.581% 📈
2022-07-08 3,899.38 -0.083% +11.498% 📉
2022-07-01 3,825.33 +1.055% +12.553% 📈
2022-06-24 3,911.74 +3.056% +15.609% 📈
2022-06-17 3,674.84 +0.220% +15.829% 📈
2022-06-10 3,900.86 -2.911% +12.918% 📉
2022-06-03 4,108.54 -1.635% +11.283% 📉
2022-05-27 4,158.24 +2.474% +13.757% 📈
2022-05-20 3,901.36 +0.015% +13.772% 📈
2022-05-13 4,023.89 +2.387% +16.159% 📈
2022-05-06 4,123.34 -0.567% +15.592% 📉
2022-04-29 4,131.93 -3.628% +11.964% 📉
2022-04-22 4,271.78 -2.774% +9.190% 📉
2022-04-08 4,488.28 -0.265% +8.925% 📉
2022-04-01 4,545.86 +0.341% +9.266% 📈
2022-03-25 4,543.06 +0.507% +9.773% 📈
2022-03-18 4,463.12 +1.166% +10.939% 📈
2022-03-11 4,204.31 -1.296% +9.643% 📉
2022-03-04 4,328.87 -0.793% +8.850% 📉
2022-02-25 4,384.65 +2.237% +11.087% 📈
2022-02-18 4,348.87 -0.717% +10.370% 📉
2022-02-11 4,418.64 -1.897% +8.473% 📉
2022-02-04 4,500.53 +0.516% +8.989% 📈
2022-01-28 4,431.85 +2.435% +11.424% 📈
2022-01-21 4,397.94 -1.891% +9.533% 📉
2022-01-14 4,662.85 +0.082% +9.615% 📈
2022-01-07 4,677.03 -0.405% +9.210% 📉
2021-12-31 4,766.18 -0.263% +8.947% 📉
2021-12-17 4,620.64 -1.029% +7.918% 📉
2021-12-10 4,712.02 +0.955% +8.873% 📈
2021-12-03 4,538.43 -0.845% +8.028% 📉
2021-11-26 4,594.62 -2.272% +5.756% 📉
2021-11-19 4,697.96 -0.140% +5.616% 📉
2021-11-12 4,682.85 +0.722% +6.338% 📈
2021-11-05 4,697.53 +0.373% +6.711% 📈
2021-10-29 4,605.38 +0.195% +6.906% 📈
2021-10-22 4,544.90 -0.107% +6.799% 📉
2021-10-15 4,471.37 +0.746% +7.545% 📈
2021-10-08 4,391.34 -0.191% +7.354% 📉
2021-10-01 4,357.04 +1.149% +8.503% 📈
2021-09-24 4,455.48 +0.146% +8.649% 📈
2021-09-17 4,432.99 -0.911% +7.738% 📉
2021-09-10 4,458.58 -0.772% +6.966% 📉
2021-09-03 4,535.43 -0.034% +6.932% 📉
2021-08-27 4,509.37 +0.881% +7.813% 📈
2021-08-20 4,441.67 +0.814% +8.627% 📈
2021-08-13 4,468.00 +0.161% +8.788% 📈
2021-08-06 4,436.52 +0.168% +8.956% 📈